Free CFL Picks: Toronto Argonauts vs. Edmonton Eskimos Week 14

David Schwab

Thursday, September 26, 2013 7:25 PM GMT

Thursday, Sep. 26, 2013 7:25 PM GMT

The Toronto Argonauts and the Edmonton Eskimos will close-out the month of September with a Week 14 inter-conference matchup this Saturday night.

The game slated to get underway at 9 p.m. ET at Commonwealth Stadium, and will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. The regular season is rapidly coming to a close, who's the best sports pick in this week's match?

Sports betting websites with the best prices on 2013 CFL Futures

Toronto Overview

Toronto continues to be a beast on the road this season with a 5-1 record both straight-up and against the spread. In back-to-back weeks, it has beaten Saskatchewan 31-29 as a nine-point road underdog and Calgary 33-27 as a 7.5-point underdog on the road. The Argonauts are holding down first place in the East Division at 8-4 SU overall and they are 7-5 ATS. The total has gone ‘Over’ in eight of their first 12 games.

When quarterback Ricky Ray went down a couple of weeks ago with a shoulder injury many people thought that Toronto’s chance to repeat as Grey Cup Champions was over. After a rough start, Zach Collaros finally found his form as Ray’s replacement and is largely responsible for the last two impressive wins. He threw for 225 yards and one touchdown against the Roughriders in Week 12 while completing 62.1 percent of his passes. Last Saturday against the Stampeders, he completed 25-of-36 attempts for 330 yards and four touchdowns.

Edmonton Overview

Edmonton tripled its win total this year in a recent sweep of Winnipeg in a home-and-home serie the past two weeks. The Eskimos are still buried in the West Division standings at 3-9 SU, but they have been a good team to wager on lately with a 5-1 record ATS in their last six games. They are still just 2-4 both SU and ATS at home this season and the total has stayed ‘Under’ in three of their last five home games.

It will be interesting to see how Edmonton plays against a team with a winning record after fattening up its record against the Blue Bombers the last two weeks. The Eskimos are averaging 24.5 points a game this year, but they have exceeded that number in seven of their last eight games. Mike Reilly has overcome a slow start and he is now second in the CFL in passing with 3,085 yards and fifth in rushing with 530 yards. The Eskimos also have the top receiver in the league in Fred Stamps. He has caught 52 balls for 978 yards and nine touchdowns so far.

Catch up with the Canadian football season, read our CFL Betting Tips and Strategies Guide!

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Toronto vs. Edmonton Betting Lines and Trends

Opening Week 14 CFL betting lines list the Eskimos as one point at home with the total set at 52.

The Argonauts are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. The total has gone ‘Over’ in four of their last five games on the road.

The Eskimos are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven Week 14 games. The total has gone ‘Over’ in eight of their last 10 games against teams with winning records.

Head-to-head in this series, Toronto is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 trips to Edmonton, but it is just 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings overall. The total has gone ‘Over’ in four of the last six games between the two.

Toronto vs. Edmonton Free CFL Pick

This should be a very interesting matchup between two teams that are both playing their best ball of the year. Unfortunately it sets up as a trap game for the road weary Argonauts, who are playing their fourth straight road game with the last three on the West Coast. The free CFL pick in this game is Edmonton minus the one point at home.

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CFL Pick: Bet the Eskimos on the spread at a PK (-110), available at William Hill

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