Free CFL Picks: Stampeders vs. Tiger-Cats Week 14 Preview

David Schwab

Monday, September 23, 2013 9:14 PM GMT

Monday, Sep. 23, 2013 9:14 PM GMT

The Calgary Stampeders will look to rebound from a tough loss in Week 13 when they face off against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats this Saturday in their third straight inter-division matchup.

Kick-off from Guelph Alumni Stadium is slated for 6 p.m. ET and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. Who should you trust with your Week 14 sports picks?

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Calgary Overview

The Stampeders let one get away last week in a 33-27 loss to Toronto as 7.5-point favorites at home. They still lead the West Division with a CFL-best record of 9-3 straight-up (7-5 against the spread), but their lead is down to just one game with both Saskatchewan and British Columbia lurking in the shadows at 8-4 SU. Calgary has now fallen to 1-3 ATS in its last four games and the total has gone ‘Over’ in four of its last six outings.

Calgary has turned to both Kevin Glenn and Bo Levi Mitchell as its starting quarterback this season in light of Drew Tate’s injury situation. Glenn got the call last week after missing the previous two games with a lower body injury. He threw for 225 yards and two scores against the Argonauts, but he was also picked-off twice. The key to the Stampeders’ success in this matchup remains a running game led by Jon Cornish. He is ranked second in the league in total rushing yards with 1,093 in 12 games.

Hamilton Overview

Hamilton has worked its way into the thick of the East Division title race with a 6-6 SU record that has it two games in back of Toronto. The Tiger-Cats are 6-6 ATS as well, but this past Saturday’s 28-26 victory over Montreal as eight-point home favorites broke a streak of six-straight covers ATS. The total has gone ‘Over’ in four of their last six games.

Henry Burris has taken the majority of the snaps this season and continues to lead the CFL in passing yards with 3,765. He has completed 66.6 percent of his throws and is tied for second in the league in touchdowns with 20. Burris has been picked-off 12 times which is the most in the CFL. His favorite target this season has been Greg Ellingson, who is ranked third in the league in receiving yards with 800. Hamilton’s bend but do not break defense has given-up an average of 27.4 points a game this year.

Don't forget to check out our CFL Betting Tips and Strategies Guide for that extra edge in your sports betting!

Calgary vs. Hamilton Betting Lines and Trends

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Opening CFL betting lines have Hamilton listed as a 2.5-point home favorite for this inter-division contest with the total line set at 56.5.

The Stampeders are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games following a SU loss. The total has stayed ‘Under’ in four of their last five games on the road.

The Tiger-Cats are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a SU win. The total has stayed ‘Under’ in six of their last eight home games.

Head-to-head in this matchup, Calgary has won eight of the last 10 meetings SU, but Hamilton is 3-1 ATS in the last four games including a 26-22 loss earlier this season as a 5.5-point underdog on the road. The total has gone ‘Over’ in four of the last six meetings.

Calgary vs. Hamilton Free CFL Pick

Both teams come into this contest in solid form, but the overall edge still goes to Calgary as the more talented team. The Stampeders have had the Tiger-Cats number in recent years and that should remain the case this time around as well. This could be a great game to parlay with the ‘Over’, but if you are just playing side stick with Calgary in a SU win as the free CFL pick.

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CFL Pick: Bet the Stampeders straight up on the money line, +115 at Ladbrokes 

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