Free CFL Picks: Stampeders vs. Allouettes Odds & Prediction

David Schwab

Monday, July 8, 2013 3:32 PM GMT

Monday, Jul. 8, 2013 3:32 PM GMT

The Calgary Stampeders and the Montreal Alouettes clash this Friday night at Molson Stadium in a battle between two of the top favorites to win this season’s Grey Cup.


Kick-off for this showdown is set for 4:30 p.m. (PT) and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. 

Calgary Overview

Calgary went into last season’s Grey Cup Championship Game as a 1.5-point favorite but was stunned in a 35-22 loss to Toronto. After opening this season with a huge 44-32 victory over West Division rival British Columbia as 3.5-point CFL betting odds favorites, the Stampeders were stomped by Saskatchewan 36-21 as two-point road underdogs in Week 2. The total went OVER in their first two games this season and it has now gone OVER in their last nine games.

The one major concern for Calgary in the early going of the 2013 season could be the fact that its defense has allowed now allowed 30 or more points in five of its last eight games dating back to late October of 2012. Drew Tate missed a good portion of last season due to injury, but he has looked pretty sharp so far with 468 yards passing and five touchdowns while completing 73.1 percent of his attempts. Jon Cornish has done a good job running the ball with 214 yards on 32 carries.

Montreal Overview

Anthony Calvillo holds just about every CFL passing record in the books but the 40-year old veteran wanted one more crack at winning a Grey Cup title before hanging-up the spikes for good. So far his Montreal team has split a home-and-home series with Winnipeg with the road team winning both straight-up and against the spread each time. The total has been split this season, but it has stayed UNDER in five its last eight games.

Calvillo is not off to his best start with a completion percentage of 57.1 and one more interception (three) than touchdown throws, but he still gives the Alouettes the best chance to win games on a regular basis. Montreal has also struggled to effectively run the ball with no one on the team having more than 70 yards on the ground through the first two games. The result has been the lowest scoring offense in the East with a total of 49 points.

Check out my pick on the Saskatchewan - Toronto game

Calgary vs. Montreal Betting Lines and Trends

TopBet has opened Montreal has a 2.5-point home favorite for this matchup with the total line set at 53.

The Stampeders are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss and 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss ATS. The total has gone OVER in 33 of their last 51 games on the road.

The Alouettes are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six games at home.

Head-to-head in this matchup, the home team has won six of the last seven meetings SU and is 5-2 ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six games between the two.

[gameodds]19/223956/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Calgary vs. Montreal Free CFL Pick

Both these teams are coming off bad losses last week, but look for much better play from Montreal’s offense this time around. The Alouettes have had a tendency to bounce-back from bad losses the following week especially when playing at home. The final score will be tight, but give the 2.5 points as Montreal finds a way to win this one at home.

Free CFL Picks: Montreal @ BET365

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