Free CFL Picks: Saskatchewan vs. Winnipeg Week 11 Preview

David Schwab

Thursday, September 5, 2013 7:10 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 5, 2013 7:10 PM UTC

The Saskatchewan Rough Riders and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers will conclude the back-end of an inter-division home-and-home series this upcoming Sunday afternoon.

Kick-off for this matchup is set for 4 p.m. ET at Investors Group Field, and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. This Week 11 matchup has fairly clear sports picks, for anyone following the season. 

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Saskatchewan Overview

Saskatchewan has established itself as the team to beat in the CFL this season with a first-half record of 8-1 straight-up that has the team sitting alone atop the West Division. The Roughriders earned their eighth victory of the season by pummeling the Blue Bombers 48-25 in the first half of this home-and-home series this past Sunday. They covered against the spread as 14.5-point home favorites to run their record ATS to 6-3. The total went ‘Over’ the 53-point line and it has now gone ‘Over’ in six of their first nine games.

Not only is Saskatchewan the highest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 34.6 points a game, it also boasts the stingiest defense as well. The Roughriders are allowing an average of 22.4 points a game, which is also ranked first in the league. Darian Durant has the third-most passing yards in the CFL with 2,198 and he has completed 67.8 percent of his throws. Durant leads the league in passing touchdowns with 21 and he has only been picked-off once. Last week against the Bombers he went 24-for-35 for 315 yards and four touchdowns.

Winnipeg Overview

Sunday’s loss stretched Winnipeg’s current winless streak to seven games and they are currently buried in the East Division standings with a record of 1-8 SU. They have not been much better ATS with an overall record of 3-6 and have yet to cover in a home game with a record of 0-4 ATS. The total has gone ‘Over’ in all four of those games.

What can go wrong has gone wrong for Winnipeg this season. It has tried three different players at quarterback with Justin Goltz taking all the snaps in the last game. He put the ball up 29 times last week and completed 18 passes for 182 yards. He ended the day with zero touchdown throws and he was intercepted twice. By default he should be the starter again in Sunday’s game, but I would not expect anything to radically change as far as his performance.

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Saskatchewan vs. Winnipeg Betting Lines and Trends

Opening CFL odds for this game showed Saskatchewan listed as a 8.5-point road favorite with the total set at 55.

The Roughriders are 4-1 SU in their last five road games and the total has gone ‘Over’ in five of their last six games on the road.

The Blue Bombers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games. The total has gone ‘Over’ in five of their last six games at home.

Head-to-head in this series, Saskatchewan has won nine of the last 10 meetings SU and also has a 7-3 edge ATS. The total has gone ‘Over’ in the last four meetings.


Saskatchewan vs. Winnipeg Free CFL Pick

There is nothing about this matchup that suggests that this Sunday’s outcome will be any different from last Sunday. The margin of victory may not be as wide with Winnipeg playing this game at home, but it will be more than enough to make the free CFL pick in this contest clearly with Saskatchewan.

CFL Pick: Bet the 'Riders -8.5 point spread at Ladbrokes

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