Free CFL Picks: Montreal Alouettes vs. BC Lions

David Schwab

Wednesday, September 11, 2013 8:44 PM GMT

Wednesday, Sep. 11, 2013 8:44 PM GMT

The Montreal Alouettes will try and keep pace in the East Division title race when they square-off against the West Division’s British Columbia Lions this Sunday afternoon at BC Place.

Kick-off for this inter-division clash is set for 1:30 p.m. (PT) and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN.

Montreal Overview

Montreal had a chance to create a three-way tie for the lead in the East Division this past Sunday but it came up short in a 37-30 loss to first-place Toronto as a two-point home favorite. The Alouettes had won their last two games both straight-up and against the spread, but the loss to the Argonauts dropped them to 4-6 SU and 5-5 ATS on the year. The total went OVER the 49.5-point line in that game after staying UNDER in three of their previous four outings.

Tanner Marsh remains Montreal’s starting quarterback in place of an injured Anthony Calvillo. He completed less than half his passes in last week’s loss and he was picked-off three times. Overall, Marsh has thrown for 896 yards and three touchdowns with a completion percentage of 52.8 and eight interceptions. The Alouettes’ defense has had its share of troubles this season as well; ranking sixth in the CFL in points allowed per game (28.5).

BC Overview 

The Lions are coming off a 37-29 loss to Hamilton as 1.5-point road underdogs after beating the Tiger-Cats 29-26 the week before as 6.5-point home favorites in a home-and-home series. The total went OVER in both of those games and it has gone OVER in six of their first 10 games. BC is two games out of first in the West Division at 6-4 SU and it is 4-6 ATS after failing to cover in five of its last six games.

When it comes to scoring, the Lions are easily the most balanced team in the CFL with an offense that is averaging 26.5 points a game complementing a defense that has allowed an average of 26.6 points a game. The main thing in their favor in the matchup is playing at home where BC is a perfect 5-0 SU (3-2 ATS) this season verse a 1-4 SU record on the road. Another plus in this matchup is the duo of Travis Lulay and Andrew Harris.  Lulay is ranked second in the CFL in passing with 2,569 yards and Harris is third in rushing with 582 yards on 118 carries.

Check out my picks on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers Game~

Montreal vs. BC Betting Lines and Trends

BC has been opened as a nine-point home favorite by TopBet in its opening CFL betting lines and the total has been set at 52.5.

The Alouettes are 3-6 SU in their last nine games and the total has gone OVER in 16 of their last 23 games on the road.

The Lions are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games, but just 1-5 ATS in their last six. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games.

These two met in Week 9 with Montreal coming away with a tight 39-38 victory as 10-point underdogs at home. The total went OVER the 47.5-point line and it has now gone OVER in five of the last six meetings. Before that loss, BC had covered in seven of the last nine games between the two.

 

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Montreal vs. BC 

This series has been pretty much even over the past few years, but the Lions hold a commanding 12-1 SU edge in the last 13 meetings in BC. While nine points is quite a bit to give up in a matchup like this, the free CFL pick is still with the Lions to win and cover at home as Montreal struggles to keep things close on the road.

Free CFL Pick: BC Lions -8.5 Bet 365

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