This West Division clash is slated to get underway at 9:30 p.m. (ET) this Saturday night at Commonwealth Stadium, and will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. Let's review both teams and see if we can find some value sports picks.
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The 2012 West Division Champs opened the 2013 regular season with a stunning 44-32 loss to Calgary as 3.5-point underdogs on the road, but the Lions roared back with a 24-16 victory over Toronto last Thursday as seven-point home favorites. The total was split in these two games, but it has gone OVER in four of their last six games.
BC still has the firepower to put points on the board behind quarterback Travis Lulay, but he has struggled with his accuracy the last two weeks with a completion percentage of just 58.6 percent. Overall, he has passed for 532 yards which is the third-highest total in the league. He is tied for third in touchdown throws with four. Defense has also been an issue at times after giving-up a total of 60 points in two games.
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The Eskimos qualified as a playoff team last season as a crossover from the West at 7-11, but their stay did not last long in a lopsided loss to Toronto. This season, they are off to a 1-1 start both straight-up and against the spread after losing to Saskatchewan 39-18 in the season opener as 2.5-point home underdogs. This past Sunday, they beat Hamilton 30-20 as seven-point underdogs on the road. The total split in those two games after going OVER in six of seven games down the stretch in 2012.
When quarterback Matt Nichols was lost for the season due to a knee injury, Edmonton turned to four-year CFL veteran Mike Reilly to take over the reins. He has thrown for 395 yards, but he has as many interceptions as touchdowns (three) and completion percentage of 54.5. The Eskimos have gotten some solid production out of running back Hugh Charles, who is currently ranked third in the CFL with 141 yards on 16 carries.
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BC vs. Edmonton Betting Lines and Trends
BC has been opened as a 3.5-point road favorite on its opening CFL betting lines and the total has been set at 49.
The Lions are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in 14 of their last 17 road games.
The Eskimos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in the month of July but only 1-4 ATS in their last five division games. The total has gone OVER in their last five games against teams from the West.
Head-to-head in this matchup, BC has gone 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in four of those games.
BC vs. Edmonton Free CFL Pick
You always hate to give points on the road against a divisional opponent, but the overall talent gap between these two teams swings the edge in this matchup heavily in the Lions’ favor. They know they cannot afford division losses in games they are expected to win in what is shaping up as another hotly contested title race in the West. The free CFL pick in this one is BC minus the points.
CFL Pick: Bet BC Lions -4 -110 at 5Dimes
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