Free CFL Picks: Hamilton vs. Edmonton Week 6 Preview

David Schwab

Monday, July 29, 2013 7:05 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 29, 2013 7:05 PM UTC

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats and the Edmonton Eskimos open up the month of August with a Friday night inter-division clash.

The game slated to get underway at 9 p.m. ET at Commonwealth Stadium and will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. Which team should you add to your sports picks in Week 6?

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Hamilton Overview

Back-to-back losses have dropped the Tiger-Cats to 1-4 straight-up on the year and 0-5 against the spread. In Week 4 they were shutout by Saskatchewan 37-0 as 7.5 underdogs on the road and in the back end of this home-and-home series this past Saturday, they were buried again 32-20 as four-point home underdogs. The total stayed ‘Under’ in both of those games and it has now stayed ‘Under’ in four of its first five games.

Ever since putting-up 34 points in an opening-day loss to Toronto, Hamilton’s offense has sputtered with an average of 16.3 points a game. Its 99 total points this season are tied with Edmonton for last in the CFL. Henry Burris threw for 395 yards and two touchdowns in Saturday night’s loss and he is ranked first in the league in passing with 1,510 yards. Unfortunately, all this production has not resulted in points on the scoreboard or wins on the record.

Edmonton Overview

Edmonton dropped to 1-4 SU and ATS on the year with a 32-27 loss to Montreal last Thursday as a four-point road underdog. Its only victory of the season came in Week 2 when it beat Hamilton 30-20 as a seven-point underdog on the road. The total stayed ‘Under’ the 55.5-point line in that game but it has gone ‘Over’ in three of its other four contests.

This is another team that has struggled to put points on the board at times this season. While the Eskimos have posted a total of 78 points in three previous road games this season, they only managed to score 18 points in their home opener against Saskatchewan and three points in a home loss to British Columbia in Week 3. Mike Reilly has seen the majority of the playing time at quarterback, but he has struggled as well. He is completing just 56.3 percent of his passes and has tossed one more interception (6) than touchdowns (5).

Check out SportsbookReview's 2013 CFL Season Preview, for more information on Canadian football.

Hamilton vs. Edmonton Betting Lines and Trends

Edmonton has been opened as a 3.5-point home favorite in their opening CFL betting lines and the total has been set at 48.

The Tiger-Cats are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games and 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall. The total has stayed ‘Under’ in five of their last seven games.

The Eskimos are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall and they are 0-3 ATS in their last three home games. The total has gone ‘Over’ in nine of their last 12 games.

Head-to-head in this matchup, Edmonton won the first meeting this season both SU and ATS with the total staying ‘Under’. This was after the two split a pair of games last season SU and ATS with the home team winning each one. The total went ‘Over’ in both of those contests.

Hamilton vs. Edmonton Free CFL Pick

Both teams come into this game in desperate need of a win to keep its entire season from slipping away. While neither team’s current form is anything to brag about, the free CFL pick in this one is to give the points and take Edmonton at home to win and cover.


CFL Pick: Bet Edmonton Eskimos laying the -3.5 points

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