Free CFL Picks: Eskimos vs. Lions Week 4 Preview

David Schwab

Wednesday, July 17, 2013 5:56 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 17, 2013 5:56 PM UTC

The Edmonton Eskimos will try and avoid a sweep against the West Division rival British Columbia Lions on the road at BC Place, in the back-end of this home-and-home series.

The game is set to get underway at 10 p.m. (ET) and will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. What are the value CFL picks in this week's match? Let's review the teams' previous performances.

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Edmonton Overview

Ever since the Eskimos lost to BC 39-19 last Oct. 19 as 5.5-point road underdogs, they have been on a downward spiral with just one straight-up victory in their last seven games. During this slide they have gone 2-5 against the spread and the total has gone OVER in four of the seven games. This season, Edmonton is 1-2 SU and ATS and the total has stayed UNDER in its last two games.

Much of the blame for this downturn can be pinned on a lack of offensive production. The Eskimos have averaged 21.1 points a game dating back to last season’s loss to the Lions and this past Saturday they could only manage a single field goal in a 17-3 loss to BC as 3.5-point underdogs at home. The total stayed well UNDER the 49.5-point closing line in that game. Mike Reilly has taken the majority of the snaps under center and has completed just 55 percent of his passes for 492 yards. He has three touchdown throws and has been picked-off four times.

Be sure to check out my picks on the Toronto Argonauts vs. Winnipeg Blue BombersMontreal Allouettes vs. Calgary Stampeders and Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Week 4 games.

BC Overview

BC has prided itself in playing shutdown defense in the past and this season has been no exception. This unit is ranked first in the CFL in points allowed; giving-up a combined total of 19 points in its last two games after getting torched for 44 points in an opening-day loss to Calgary. The result has been a 2-1 start both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in two of the three games.

Travis Lulay has thrown for 690 yards and six touchdowns in the Lions first three games while completing 60.2 percent of his attempts. Wide receiver Emmanuel Arceneaux has just seven catches on the year but he has racked-up 206 yards and two scores. Running back Andrew Harris has the fourth-most rushing yards in the league with 193 on 37 carries. Lulay has added another 142 yards with his legs on 15 carries.

Check out SportsbookReview's 2013 CFL Season Preview, for more information on Canadian football.

Edmonton vs. BC Betting Lines and Trends

BC has been opened as an 8.5-point home favorite by TopBet on its opening CFL odds and the total has been set at 50.

The Eskimos are 0-4 ATS in their last four West Division games but 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven road games.

The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games but 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 13 games against a division opponent.

Head-to-head in this matchup, the home team has a slight 5-4 SU edge in the last nine meetings and the total has gone OVER in five of the last seven games played in BC. Edmonton is 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings overall and 1-4 ATS in the last five road games against the Lions.


Edmonton vs. BC Free CFL Pick

Edmonton’s trouble with consistently putting points on the board appears to be getting worse, while the Lions have found their form on defense after a poor showing in Week 1. Look for another low-scoring battle between these two this week making a play on the UNDER an attractive sports pick. If playing a side, stick with BC to complete the series sweep as the win at home that covers the 8.5-point spread.

CFL Picks: BC Lions -9 -110 and Eskimos/Lions game to go UNDER 50 at Bet365

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