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The Eskimos went into last week’s bye reeling from a 30-29 heart-breaking loss to Hamilton on August 2nd as 3.5-point home favorites. The loss dropped them to 1-5 on the year both straight-up and against the spread which is four full games behind the leaders in the division. The total went ‘Over’ the 52.5-point closing line in that game and it has now gone ‘Over’ in four of their first six games.
Edmonton is the lowest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 21.3 points a game. They have been able to improve this number its last two games with a total of 56 points, but the offense as a whole continues to struggle with consistency. Quarterback Mike Reilly has thrown for 1,217 yards but he is completing just 58.1 percent of his passes and he has as many interceptions as touchdowns (six). The Eskimos’ defense is ranked fourth in the league in points allowed; giving-up an average 28.2 points a game.
The defending Grey Cup Champs got a slow start out of the gate with a 1-2 record both SU and ATS, but Toronto has returned to form with three-straight victories by combined score of 111- 44. The Argonauts are now 4-2 SU and ATS and the total has gone ‘Over’ in four of the six games overall and in all three games played at home.
Quarterback Ricky Ray has this Toronto offense humming with 1,355 passing yards and 11 touchdown throws verse zero interceptions. Chad Owens leads the CFL in receiving yards with 470 and Chad Kackert is the team’s leading rusher with 189 yards on 36 carries. The Argonauts as a whole are averaging 32.3 points a game while holding opposing teams to 23.5 points on defense.
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Edmonton vs. Toronto Betting Lines and Trends
Opening CFL odds for this matchup has Toronto listed as a 7.5-point home favorite with the total line set at 54.5.
The Eskimos are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight contests. The total has gone ‘Over’ in 10 of their last 13 games.
The Argonauts are 5-1 SU in their last six home games and 9-2 SU in their last 11 games overall. The total has gone ‘Over’ in nine of their last 12 games.
Edmonton has won five of the last six meetings between the two and it is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 road games against Toronto. The total has gone ‘Over’ in three of the last five meetings between the two.
Edmonton vs. Toronto Free CFL Pick
Past trends in this matchup tend to favor Edmonton, but they should have little or no bearing on the actual outcome of the game given the current form of each of these teams. They are each headed in opposite directions this season, which makes the free CFL pick in this one a play on Toronto minus the 7.5 points to win with ease.
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