Free CFL Picks: Edmonton vs. Montreal Week 5 Preview

David Schwab

Monday, July 22, 2013 4:09 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 22, 2013 4:09 PM UTC

The Edmonton Eskimos and the Montreal Alouettes kick-off Week 5 of the CFL regular season this Thursday night, in an inter-division clash.

The game is set to get underway at 7:30 p.m. ET at Percival-Molson Stadium, and will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. What betting value can we find in this week's CFL picks? Let's review both teams.

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Edmonton Overview

The Eskimos fell to 1-3 both straight-up and against the spread to start the season after losing to British Columbia last Saturday night 31-21 as nine-point underdogs on the road in the back-end of a home-and-home series. They are now 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS dating back to the middle of last October. The total went the 47.5-point line in last week’s game after staying 'Under' in their previous two contests.

Edmonton’s problems this season have been on both sides of the ball. It has given-up an average of 26.8 points a game on defense and so far its offense has not been able to keep pace with just 72 total points in its first four games. This ranks the Eskimos dead last in scoring in the league. They have used three different quarterbacks so far, but the end result has been pretty much the same no matter which one was behind center. Mike Reilly has seen the majority of the action; however he is listed as questionable for Thursday with an elbow injury.

Montreal Overview

Montreal is having some issues of its own on offense with three straight losses after a 38-33 opening day victory over Winnipeg as a 3.5-point road favorite. The Alouettes have only managed to score a total of 52 points in their last three games to fall to 1-3 both SU and ATS. The total has stayed 'Under'in two of their last three games. This past Saturday they dropped a 38-27 decision to Calgary as 7.5-point road underdogs.

Former head coach and offensive genius Marc Trestman left to coach Chicago in the NFL this past offseason and the team may be feeling the effects from his departure. Veteran quarterback Anthony Calvillo may also be feeling the effects of playing 20 years in the CFL. Through the first four games, he has completed just 58.9 percent of his throws and he has as many interceptions as touchdown passes (four).

Check out SportsbookReview's 2013 CFL Season Preview, for more information on Canadian football.

Edmonton vs. Montreal Betting Lines and Trends

Opening CFL odds for Week 5 list Montreal as a five-point home favorite and the total line for this game has been set at 48.5.

The Eskimos are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played on a Thursday. The total has gone 'Over' in eight of their last 11 games overall.

The Alouettes are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss and 0-5 ATS in their last five games at home. The total has stayed 'Under' in five of their last six games following a SU loss.

Head-to-head in this matchup, Montreal has won the last six games SU and is 5-1 ATS. The total has gone 'Over' in two of the last three meetings. The Alouettes are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against Edmonton.


Edmonton vs. Montreal Free CFL Pick

Montreal is not playing to its past form, but Percival-Molson Stadium is a tough place to get a win no matter which team is coming to town. Look for the Alouettes to respond with a much better showing this Thursday night making the free sports pick for this game Montreal laying the five points at home.

CFL Pick: Bet Montreal laying the -5 points at 5Dimes

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