Free CFL Picks: Edmonton vs. Calgary Week 10 Preview

David Schwab

Thursday, August 29, 2013 2:33 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 29, 2013 2:33 PM UTC

The Edmonton Eskimos will try and snap a six-game skid when they square-off against the Calgary Stampeders this Monday afternoon.

The kick-off for this West Division battle is slated for 5 p.m. ET at McMahon Stadium and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. Which of these teams would it be better to back in your sports picks for Week 10?

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Edmonton Overview

It has been a rough ride for the Eskimos so far with just one straight-up victory in their first eight games. Their current losing streak reached six with a hard-fought 30-27 loss to Saskatchewan last Saturday as 4.5-point home underdogs. The total went ‘Over’ the 52.5-point line and it has now gone ‘Over’ in six of eight games this year. Edmonton is 3-5 against the spread overall and 2-2 ATS on the road.

It would be hard to fault the Eskimos in the effort department after losing their last four games by a combined 12 points, but coming close does not count for much in this game. Edmonton has settled-in on Mike Reilly as its starter at quarterback and he has actually thrown for the second-most yards in the CFL with 2,031 while completing a respectable 62.6 percent of his throws. The problem has been an extremely porous defense that is allowing an average of 29.4 points a game.

Calgary Overview

Calgary has been able to keep pace with the red-hot 7-1 Roughriders in the West Division title race with a 6-2 SU record in its first eight games. Last week, the Stampeders stunned Toronto 35-14 as four-point underdogs on the road in a game that stayed ‘Under’ the 57-point line. They are a profitable 6-2 ATS as well and the total has gone ‘Over’ in five of eight games. Calgary is a perfect 3-0 both SU and ATS at home this season and the total has gone ‘Over’ in all three games.

Kevin Glenn has turned-in a solid performance at quarterback with a 68.2 completion percentage and Jon Cornish has anchored the running game with 749 yards on 108 carries. He has also found the end zone a league-high eight times. Overall, Calgary remains the second-highest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 32.6 points a game.

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Edmonton vs. Calgary Betting Lines and Trends

Opening CFL odds listed Calgary as an 8.5-point home favorite for this West Division matchup with the total line set at 57.

The Eskimos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 3-6 ATS in their last nine games on the road. The total has gone ‘Over’ in four of their last five road games.

The Stampeders are 5-0 SU in their last five home games and 5-1 SU in their last six games overall. The total has gone ‘Over’ in their last five games at home.

Head-to-head in this matchup, Edmonton is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has gone ‘Over’ in four of the last five games. This will be the first meeting this season.


Edmonton vs. Calgary Free CFL Pick

While this contest may still be a division rivalry, it is clearly a matchup of two teams going in completely different directions. The Eskimos have done a good job at keeping things close lately, but it still have to be demoralized with the actual results. Look for a complete breakdown this week against a Calgary team that is starting to really find its form. The free CFL pick in this one is the Stampeders minus the points.

CFL Pick: Choose Calgary on the spread -9.5 (+105) at 5Dimes

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