Free CFL Picks: Edmonton vs. Calgary Week 10 Preview

David Schwab

Thursday, August 29, 2013 2:33 PM GMT

The Edmonton Eskimos will try and snap a six-game skid when they square-off against the Calgary Stampeders this Monday afternoon.


The kick-off for this West Division battle is slated for 5 p.m. ET at McMahon Stadium and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. Which of these teams would it be better to back in your sports picks for Week 10?

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Edmonton Overview

It has been a rough ride for the Eskimos so far with just one straight-up victory in their first eight games. Their current losing streak reached six with a hard-fought 30-27 loss to Saskatchewan last Saturday as 4.5-point home underdogs. The total went ‘Over’ the 52.5-point line and it has now gone ‘Over’ in six of eight games this year. Edmonton is 3-5 against the spread overall and 2-2 ATS on the road.

It would be hard to fault the Eskimos in the effort department after losing their last four games by a combined 12 points, but coming close does not count for much in this game. Edmonton has settled-in on Mike Reilly as its starter at quarterback and he has actually thrown for the second-most yards in the CFL with 2,031 while completing a respectable 62.6 percent of his throws. The problem has been an extremely porous defense that is allowing an average of 29.4 points a game.

Calgary Overview

Calgary has been able to keep pace with the red-hot 7-1 Roughriders in the West Division title race with a 6-2 SU record in its first eight games. Last week, the Stampeders stunned Toronto 35-14 as four-point underdogs on the road in a game that stayed ‘Under’ the 57-point line. They are a profitable 6-2 ATS as well and the total has gone ‘Over’ in five of eight games. Calgary is a perfect 3-0 both SU and ATS at home this season and the total has gone ‘Over’ in all three games.

Kevin Glenn has turned-in a solid performance at quarterback with a 68.2 completion percentage and Jon Cornish has anchored the running game with 749 yards on 108 carries. He has also found the end zone a league-high eight times. Overall, Calgary remains the second-highest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 32.6 points a game.

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Edmonton vs. Calgary Betting Lines and Trends

Opening CFL odds listed Calgary as an 8.5-point home favorite for this West Division matchup with the total line set at 57.

The Eskimos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 3-6 ATS in their last nine games on the road. The total has gone ‘Over’ in four of their last five road games.

The Stampeders are 5-0 SU in their last five home games and 5-1 SU in their last six games overall. The total has gone ‘Over’ in their last five games at home.

Head-to-head in this matchup, Edmonton is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has gone ‘Over’ in four of the last five games. This will be the first meeting this season.

[gameodds]19/223981/?r3=19-349/dec&r-1=19-349/us[/gameodds]

Edmonton vs. Calgary Free CFL Pick

While this contest may still be a division rivalry, it is clearly a matchup of two teams going in completely different directions. The Eskimos have done a good job at keeping things close lately, but it still have to be demoralized with the actual results. Look for a complete breakdown this week against a Calgary team that is starting to really find its form. The free CFL pick in this one is the Stampeders minus the points.

CFL Pick: Choose Calgary on the spread -9.5 (+105) at 5Dimes

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