Free CFL Picks: Calgary vs. Winnipeg Week 5 Preview

David Schwab

Monday, July 22, 2013 5:31 PM GMT

Monday, Jul. 22, 2013 5:31 PM GMT

The Calgary Stampeders will be going for their third-straight win this Friday night when they square-off against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers.


Kick-off for this inter-division matchup is set for 8 p.m. ET at Investors Group Field and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN.

Sportsbooks with the best prices on 2013 CFL Futures

Check out our CFL Betting Guide!

Calgary Overview

After hammering British Columbia 44-32 on opening day as 3.5-point home favorites, the Stampeders were stunned the following week in a 36-21 loss to Saskatchewan as two-point underdogs on the road. They quickly righted the ship with back-to-back victories over Montreal in a home-and-home series both straight-up and against the spread to improve to 3-1 both ways on the year. The total has gone 'Over' in three of their four games behind an offense that is ranked second in the league in scoring with an average of 31.3 points a game.

Calgary quarterback Drew Tate is still listed as questionable for Friday night with a lingering arm injury, so look for Kevin Glenn to get the call if he cannot go. Glenn has thrown for 513 yards so far while completing 71 percent of his throws. The Stampeders also boast a potent running game behind Jon Cornish. He is currently ranked second in the league in rushing yards with 413 yards on 61 carries. The Stampeders’ defense has been suspect as times this season, but for the most part its "bend, but do not break" philosophy has remained effective enough to help preserve wins.

Winnipeg Overview

Winnipeg is coming off a 35-19 loss to Toronto last week in which it closed as a 3.5-point underdog on the road. It covered the week before in a 25-20 loss to Hamilton as a five-point road underdog and is now 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS. The total has stayed 'Under' in two of its last three games. The Blue Bombers also have some concerns at the quarterback position with Buck Piece listed as questionable with a strained abdomen. Look for Justin Goltz to possibly get the start if Pierce cannot go. He looked sharp in relief last week; completing 13-of-15 attempts for 170 yards but it was too little, too late to close the gap against the Argonauts.

Look for a heavy dose of running back Chad Simpson in Friday night’s game as well. He is ranked fourth in the CFL in rushing with 256 yards on the year. The main thing that Winnipeg needs to do to win this game is tighten things up on defense. It has given-up a total of 95 points in three losses this season.

Check out SportsbookReview's 2013 CFL Season Preview, for more information on Canadian football.

Calgary vs. Winnipeg Betting Lines and Trends

CFL odds have opened the Stampeders as four-point road favorites on its opening Week 5 lines. The total for this game has been set at 56.

The Stampeders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a losing record and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games overall. The total has gone 'Over' in 26 of their last 37 games following a SU win.

The Blue Bombers are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games against a team with a winning record but just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. The total has stayed 'Under' in six of their last eight games following a SU loss.

Calgary brings a six-game SU winning streak over Winnipeg into this game, but it is 3-5-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The total has gone 'Over' in five of the last eight games between the two.

[gameodds]19/223964/?r-1=349-43-192-999997/us[/gameodds]

Calgary vs. Winnipeg Free CFL Pick

The Stampeders have regained the form that took them all the way to last season’s Grey Cup Championship while Winnipeg is still searching for some kind of week-to-week consistency on both sides of the ball. The end result is a seventh-straight victory by Calgary over the Blue Bombers that covers the four points on the road.

CFL Pick: Bet Calgary -4 at 5Dimes

Talk Canadian Football League on SBRForum's football message board!

comment here