Free CFL Picks: BC vs. Calgary Week 1 Preview

David Schwab

Tuesday, June 25, 2013 5:55 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 25, 2013 5:55 PM UTC

The 2013 CFL regular season gets underway this Friday night with a bang when the British Columbia Lions square-off against the Calgary Stampeders.

In a classic West Division showdown, both teams will square off this week at McMahon Stadium. Kick-off is set for 10 PM (ET) and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. Which team holds the better value for your football picks?

New to the CFL? Check out our Guide to CFL Betting!

BC Overview

The Lions finished the 2012 regular season with the best straight-up record in the CFL at 13-5, but they will be looking to avenge a bitter 34-29 loss to Calgary in the West Division Finals as 6.5-point home favorites that ended their chance at winning back-to-back Grey Cup titles. The total went OVER the 51.5-point line in that game.

BC returns with a dynamic offensive attack led by quarterback Travis Lulay. He threw for 4,231 yards and 27 touchdowns, which was the third-most yards in the league while completing 66.5 percent of his throws. Andrew Harris anchored the running game with 1,112 yards on 187 carries. The real strength of this team is a shutdown defense that led the CFL in points allowed; giving-up an average of just 19.6 points a game. BC has been opened as a +350 favorite to win the Grey Cup this season.

Calgary Overview

Calgary finished just one game behind the Lions in the West Division standings at 12-6 and has been opened as a +400 second-favorite to bring home the Cup this season. It went into last season’s title game as a 1.5-point favorite but was stunned by Toronto 35-22. The Stampeders went 10-8 against the spread last season but they ended-up below .500 at home with an ATS record of 4-5.

Kevin Glenn led one of the most potent offensive attacks in the league last season with an average of 29.7 points a game, but it looks like Calgary is going with Drew Tate as its starting quarterback for this season opener. He spent much of last season on the injured list and despite looking rusty in the preseason he is still penciled-in at No.1. The Stampeders also had one of the more stingy defenses in the league last year; allowing an average of 23.9 points a game.

For more information on Canadian football, be sure to check out SportsbookReview's 2013 CFL Season Preview!

BC vs. Calgary Betting Lines and Trends

BetOnline’s CFL lines have the Stampeders listed as 2.5-point favorites for their home opener with the total line set at 52.

The Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played on a Friday. The total has stayed UNDER in 14 of their last 16 games on the road.

The Stampeders are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four division games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games at home. They closed-out the 2012 season with their last seven games going OVER the total.

Head-to-head in this showdown, BC is just 5-13-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings but 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to McMahon Stadium. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings in Calgary.


BC vs. Calgary Free CFL Pick

This matchup should remain a close, hard-fought battle to the final gun between two division rivals that also happen to be the two best teams in the league heading into a brand new CFL season. If playing a side I would take BC and the points, but for your sports picks, the real play in this game is for the UNDER on the total line as both teams' defense picks up where it left off last season.

CFL Pick: UNDER 52 points at Bet365

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