Free CFL Picks: Argonauts vs. Blue Bombers Week 4 Preview

David Schwab

Monday, July 15, 2013 5:41 PM GMT

Monday, Jul. 15, 2013 5:41 PM GMT

The Toronto Argonauts will try and snap a two-game skid this Friday night when they clash with the East Division rival Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Investors Group Field.


Kick-off for this division matchup is set for 8 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN.

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Toronto Overview

The defending 2012 Grey Cup champs started the season with a 39-34 victory over Hamilton as a 3.5-point home favorite, but comes into this contest fresh-off back-to-back losses both straight-up and against the spread verse British Columbia on the road and Saskatchewan at home. The total has gone OVER in two of the three games. Toronto has scored the most points in the East Division so far with 83, but it has also allowed the most; giving-up an average of 32.3 points a game. 

The positive sign for the Argonauts has been the continued high level of play by quarterback Ricky Ray. He is ranked second in the league in total passing yards with 917 and he is completing 71.8 percent of his throws. Ray has tossed six touchdown passes and has yet to be picked-off in any of the first three games. Slotback Chad Owens has been on the receiving end of 28 of passes for a league-high 291 yards.

Be sure to check out my picks on the Montreal Allouettes vs. Calgary StampedersEdmonton Eskimos vs. BC Lions and Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Week 4 games.

Winnipeg Overview 

The Blue Bombers split a home-and-home series against Montreal to start the season, but fell to 1-2 SU with a 25-20 loss to Hamilton as 5.5-point road underdogs this past week. They are 2-1 ATS and the total has stayed UNDER in their last two games. Winnipeg is averaging 24 points a game and it has been able to basically match this number on defense in points allowed.

Buck Pierce has also looked fairly sharp throwing the ball for the Bombers. After suffering through an injury-plagued 2012 campaign, he is ranked third in the league this season in total passing yards with 701. The only problem has been a touchdown to interception ratio of 2-4 through his first three starts. Winnipeg has done a good job running the ball behind Chad Simpson, who is ranked third in the CFL with 206 yards.

Check out SportsbookReview's 2013 CFL Season Preview, for more information on Canadian football.

Toronto vs. Winnipeg Betting Lines and Trends

This game has been opened as a PICK by TopBet on its opening CFL odds and the total has been set at 53.

The Argonauts are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 division games. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last nine games overall.

The Blue Bombers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win but 33-16-3 ATS in their last 52 games following a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games against the East.

Head-to-head in this matchup, Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Winnipeg and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 12 games played there.

[gameodds]19/223959/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Toronto vs. Winnipeg Free CFL Pick

Looking at the current form for both these teams, the edge in this contest would have to go to Toronto even though it is playing this game on the road. If playing a side stick with the Argonauts even-up, but the free CFL pick in this matchup in on the UNDER on the total line.

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