Free CFL Picks: Allouettes vs. Stampeders Odds & Prediction

David Schwab

Monday, July 15, 2013 4:20 PM GMT

The home-and-home series between the Montreal Alouettes and the Calgary Stampeders shifts venues this Saturday to McMahon Stadium for Game 2.


The kick-off for this inter-division clash is slated for 4 p.m. (PT) and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN.

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Montreal Overview

Montreal came into the 2013 season with the high expectation of getting back to the Grey Cup title game, but so far it has stumbled out of the gate with a 1-2 start both straight-up and against the spread. Last week in Game 1 of this series, its normally potent offense could only manage two scores in a 22-14 loss as a two-point home favorite. The total has stayed UNDER in its last two games. 

Former head coach and offensive genius Marc Trestman in now in the NFL with Chicago, which could account for some of the struggles putting points on the board, but you also have to look at the play of long-time quarterback Anthony Calvillo as part of the problem as well. Through three games he has completed just 58.6 percent of his passes for a total of 590 yards and has also been picked-off four times. The defense has done a pretty good job at keeping opponents off the scoreboard; allowing an average of 24.7 points a game.

Be sure to check out my picks on the Toronto Argonauts vs. Winnipeg Blue BombersEdmonton Eskimos vs. BC Lions and Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Week 4 games.

Calgary Overview

After hammering British Columbia 44-32 in its season opener as a 3.5-point home favorite, Calgary got tripped-up the following week in a 36-21 loss to Saskatchewan as a two-point underdog on the road. Last week’s victory moved the Stampeders to 2-1 on the year both SU and ATS and the total has gone OVER in two of the three games. They are the second-highest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 29 points a game, but their defense has given-up the third-most points in the league (82). 

Quarterback Drew Tate is listed as questionable for Saturday’s game with an injured arm, but Calgary has a very capable backup in Kevin Glenn. Tate has completed 73.1 percent of his passes this season for 468 yards and five touchdowns; however Glenn has thrown for 309 yards while completing 74.3 percent of his throws in relief. Jon Cornish continues to anchor the rushing attack with 304 yards on 50 carries for an average of 6.1 yards a run.

Check out SportsbookReview's 2013 CFL Season Preview, for more information on Canadian football.

Montreal vs. Calgary Betting Lines and Trends

Looking at CFL betting odds for Week 4, TopBet has opened Calgary as a seven-point home favorite for the back-end of this home-and-home series with the total line set at 52. 

The Alouettes are 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 0-5 ATS in their last five games in the month of July. The total has stayed UNDER in their last five games following a SU loss. 

The Stampeders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. The total has gone OVER in nine of their last 10 games. 

Montreal is just 1-4 ATS in its last five trips to Calgary and 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings overall. The total have gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings. The home team in this series is 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS in the last eight games. 

[gameodds]19/223960/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Montreal vs. Calgary Free CFL Pick 

Montreal finds itself in a very difficult position to squeeze-out a tie in this home-and-home series. It has struggled in the past to cover on the road against the Stampeders and after last week’s performance there is very little confidence that this offense will regain its form this time around. The free CFL picks in this matchup is Calgary covering the spread at home to pull-off the sweep.

CFL Picks: Calgary at Bet 365

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