Free CFL Pick: Winnipeg vs. BC Week 6 Preview

David Schwab

Wednesday, July 31, 2013 6:26 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jul. 31, 2013 6:26 PM GMT

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers will try and snap a three-game skid this Monday night when they square-off against the British Columbia Lions.


Kick-off for this inter-division clash is set for 7 p.m. (ET) at BC Place in Vancouver, and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. Which team should make your Week 6 sports picks?

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Winnipeg Overview

The Blue Bombers came up on the short end of a 37-24 decision against Calgary last Friday to fall to 1-4 straight-up and 2-3 against the spread this season. The total went ‘Over’ the 48.5-point line and it has now gone ‘Over’ in three of their first five games. Winnipeg is averaging 23 points a game which has not been enough to offset the 29.2 points a game it is giving-up on defense.

Winnipeg has been without its starting quarterback Buck Pierce for the past few games and he remains questionable for this contest with a lingering abdominal injury. Justin Goltz has taken his place and has completed 64 percent of his throws for 364 yards and two touchdowns. Chad Simpson has done a good job running the ball with 329 yards and four touchdowns on 57 carries. The Bombers will need both of these players to elevate their games even higher to get a win on the road on Monday night.

BC Overview

A sudden power shortage on offense this past Tuesday night led to a stunning 38-12 loss to Toronto as a 6.5-point road favorite. The loss dropped BC to 3-2 both SU and ATS on the year. The total went ‘Over’ the 50-point line and it has gone ‘Over’ in three of five games so far. The Lions have played their best ball at home this season with a 2-0 record both SU and ATS. At BC Place they have scored a total of 55 points while holding their opponents to a combined 37 points.

Travis Lulay has taken the majority of the snaps for BC and is ranked third in the CFL in passing yards with 1,200. He has completed 64.5 percent of his attempts and has seven scoring strikes verse four interceptions. Another prime-time player has been running back Andrew Harris. He is third in the league in rushing with 403 yards and four of his 70 carries have gone in for scores.

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Winnipeg vs. BC Betting Lines and Trends

BC has been opened as a 10-point home favorite in the opening CFL betting lines and the total has been set at 47.5

The Blue Bombers are 3-11 SU in their last 14 road games and the total has stayed ‘Under’ in five of their last six games away from home.

The Lions have won 17 of their last 19 home games SU and they are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games overall. The total has gone ‘Over’ in four of their last six outings.

BC has dominated this series over the past several seasons with a 15-6 SU record in the last 21 games. It is 8-3 SU in its last 11 home games against Winnipeg but just 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings overall. The total has stayed ‘Under’ in eight of the last nine meetings in BC.

[gameodds]19/223968/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Winnipeg vs. BC Free CFL Pick

As bad as Winnipeg needs a win to turn things around, this is not the best situation to get it done. It is facing a team that is coming off a very bad loss of its own and just so happens to be one of the best home teams in the league. The free CFL pick in Monday night’s matchup is to lay the 10 points and stick with the home-town Lions in a big win.

CFL Pick: Bet BC Lions laying the 10 points (!)

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