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Chargers At Ravens: AFC Wild Card Trends

Chargers At Ravens: AFC Wild Card Trends

AFC Wild-Card Weekend Trends (Since 2002)

Since 2002, betting favorites are 23-9 SU and 18-12-2 ATS (60.0 percent) in AFC Wild Card contests.

Teams sporting the higher average margin of victory for the year have won (21-11 SU) and covered the spread in two-thirds (20-10-2 ATS) of AFC Wild Card clashes since 2002. The Ravens own a 6.3 and the Chargers a 6.1 differential.

The “under’ is 10-3-1 in AFC Wild Card contests when both teams enter off a win. A 39.6 average final score is coming up 3.5 points shy of a 43.1 total. The Ravens topped the Browns 26-24 in the regular-season finale, while the Chargers thrashed the Broncos 23-9 at Denver. Including NFC matchups in this span, this betting angle is 20-5-1 (80.0 percent) overall.

Since 2002, the “under’ is 24-10 (70.6 percent) on Wild Card Weekend when road teams averaged fewer penalties on the season than their opponents. The Ravens ranked 27th in the NFL with 7.2 infractions per game, as opposed to 7.1 for the Chargers.

The AFC Wild Card loser averages 14.3 points per game in this span. The winner puts up 28.0 overall.

Los Angeles Chargers (12-4 SU, 9-7 ATS)

Avg. Line: -4.8
Avg. ATS Margin: 1.4
Avg. Total: 47.8
O/U Record: 8-8
Avg. O/U Margin: -0.4

Chargers In The Postseason (Since 2002)

SU Record: 4-6
ATS: Record: 6-4
Avg. Line:1.7
O/U Record: 2-8
Avg. Total: 45.5

Season Team Opponent Site Final Line Total chargers SU Chargers ATS O/U Result
2004 Chargers Jets home 17-20 -5.5 43 L L U
2006 Chargers Patriots home 21-24 -4.5 46.5 L L U
2007 Chargers Titans home 17-6 -10 38.5 W W U
2007 Chargers Colts away 28-24 8 48.5 W W O
2007 Chargers Patriots away 12-21 14.5 46.5 L W U
2008 Chargers Colts home 23-17 1 50 W W U
2008 Chargers Steelers away 24-35 6.5 38.5 L L O
2009 Chargers Jets home 14-17 -8 42.5 L L U
2013 Chargers Bengals away 27-10 6.5 46 W W U
2013 Chargers Broncos away 17-24 8.5 54.5 L W U

Chargers Postseason Trends

The “under’ is 8-2 in the Chargers’ last 10 playoff games.

In eight postseason starts, QB Phillip Rivers leads the Chargers to 20.3 points per game, never scoring more than 28 in a contest.

Since 2002, the Chargers have covered the spread in four of five road playoff games. They are covering a 8.8 average line by 7.6 points per contest, winning two outright.

Baltimore Ravens (10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS)

Avg. Line: -2.6
Avg. ATS Margin: 3.7
Avg. Total: 44.8
O/U Record: 6-9-1
Avg. O/U Margin: -2.5

Ravens In The Postseason (Since 2002)

SU Record: 11-8
ATS: Record: 12-7
Avg. Line: 2.4
O/U Record: 8-11
Avg. Total: 41.4

Season Team Opponent Site Final Line Total Ravens SU Ravens ATS O/U Result
2001 Ravens Dolphins away 20-3 2.5 32.5 W W U
2001 Ravens Steelers away 10-27 6.5 32.5 L L O
2003 Ravens Titans home 17-20 1 39 L L U
2006 Ravens Colts home 6-15 -4 40.5 L L U
2008 Ravens Dolphins away 27-9 -3.5 38 W W U
2008 Ravens Titans away 13-10 3 34 W W U
2008 Ravens Steelers away 14-23 6 34 L L O
2009 Ravens Patriots away 33-14 3.5 43 W W O
2009 Ravens Colts away 3-20 6.5 44 L L U
2010 Ravens Chiefs away 30-7 -3 40.5 W W U
2010 Ravens Steelers away 24-31 3.5 37 L L O
2011 Ravens Texans home 20-13 -7.5 36 W L U
2011 Ravens Patriots away 20-23 7 50.5 L W U
2012 Ravens Colts home 24-9 -7 47 W W U
2012 Ravens Broncos away 38-35 9 44 W W O
2012 Ravens Patriots away 28-13 8 51 W W U
2012 Ravens 49ers neutral 34-31 4 48.5 W W O
2014 Ravens Steelers away 30-17 3 46 W W O
2014 Ravens Patriots away 31-35 7 48 L W O

Ravens Postseason Trends

Head coach John Harbaugh is 10-5 SU and 11-4 ATS in the postseason. His defense yields 19.3 points per game. It allows 92.1 average rushing yards and forces 2.8 takeaways per tilt.

Harbaugh is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS as a playoff betting favorite, covering a -5.2 average line by a whopping 10.5 points per game. His defense has allowed 9, 7, 13, and 9 points.

Since 2002, the “under’ is a perfect 4-0 at M&T Bank Stadium. A 31.0 average final score is falling 9.6 points shy of a 40.6 average total. Only one team (Ravens 2012) has put up more than 20 points.

Check Our Coverage For The AFC Wild Card Game Here