The sportbooks were a little nervous this past weekend but like usual, at the end of Sunday they were raking in the cash on NFL picks both offshore and in Nevada.
Things started poorly on Thursday with Patriots rout of Miami. The early games on Sunday hurt also with Minnesota, Arizona, Cincinnati and Houston all good-sized public winners. However, as evening approached for those east of the Mississippi, Dallas covering against Seattle and Oakland upsetting the New York Jets saved the day. The Jets loss was very important because it destroyed teasers which had the Flyboys anywhere from +3 to +4.5. What made a nicely profitable day was Denver gobbling up Green Bay in NFL picks.
I mentioned teasers and they have really grown in popularity for football bettors because you can structure the odds in a more favorable position. That is not to say there still isn't risk, because you have to wager on multiple games.
Football handicappers like myself also study teasers to be right side of key numbers to build an edge. While I present a four-team teaser weekly, break these out into two or three-team teasers, which increases your chances of winning, as I have actually been correct overall on 25 of 32 choices.
Minnesota +3.5 Teaser Odds
The Vikings and St. Louis appear to be two evenly matched teams, by style of play both offensive and defensive. Yet for teasers picks, here is why Minnesota in the correct choice. First it starts by being able to cross the all important number of three which gives us edge. The one quality I really like about the Vikings this year is knowing how to win and put away games. They are 6-0 ATS since baffling opening loss to San Francisco and while the Rams have qualities to like, they are 0-6 ATS in road contests off a division game the last three seasons.
Miami +9 Teaser Odds
I am going to give the Dolphins a pass against New England. Yes they played terribly, especially in the second half, but having another division foe whom they lost to 41-14 earlier in the season should be the proper motivation to refocus. Being able to hop over the seven points helps our betting odds in this division conflict and let's not lose sight of Buffalo is 2-4 SU and ATS since what now know was a very overrated Indianapolis squad. I thinks coach Dab Campbell has his team back on course and remember with the current normal spread on this matchup, when the line is +3 to -3 and the road team is off a road loss and has a with a losing record, they are 25-5 ATS, winning by 6.7 points a game the last five years.
Carolina +8.5 Teaser Odds
By now, everyone should be impressed with Carolina and what is too easily forgotten is they have won 12 regular season games in a row and is 8-4 ATS. Have to admit seeing the Panthers as underdogs caught me off-guard and being a rising home dog to +2.5 was even more surprising. It is becoming known around the league Green Bay is more of a finesse team than a physical outfit and when teams just line up on both sides of the ball and come straight ahead, the Packers as we saw Sunday in Denver have no answers. While the Pack will be fired up to make amends, hard pressed to believe Green Bay can beat these teaser odds, with the Cats 8-1 ATS at home versus defenses allowing 4.5 or more yards per rush.
Tampa Bay +8.5 Teaser Odds
The mental state of both these teams is part of what to think about both squads. Tampa Bay almost blew another game with a big lead, but did not and upset Atlanta on the road and understands they should have a three-game winning streak, except for Washington meltdown. The New York Giants have a lot of veteran leadership but it has to nag at them or at least cause a small rift in the locker room knowing the offense scored 49 points and still lost. With the Buccaneers passing the all important number of seven, coupled with the Giants 3-11 ATS record after allowing six or more yards a play in previous game the past three years, Tampa Bay has an excellent chance to move to 40-22 ATS as November underdogs with normal spread, let alone teaser number.