Final Thoughts and Closing NFL Odds for Week 2 Monday Night Football

MNFpicks

Jordan Sharp

Monday, September 18, 2017 8:00 PM GMT

Monday, Sep. 18, 2017 8:00 PM GMT

We are only a few hours away from the kickoff of Week 2 of Monday Night Football. Let’s take a look at the closing NFL Odds and some of my final thoughts before locking in your bets!

Closing Odds

After opening at -5 in favor of the Giants, and even with a big injury still up in the air for the G-Men, the NFL Odds for this one will likely close at -3. The odds moved down earlier in the week and for the better part of five days the line hasn’t moved much from -3 in favor of the home team.

If word comes out that Odell Beckham is going to play, that may move the odds to +3 ½ at some other shops, but as of right now, Pinnacle is the only sportsbook holding odds at -3 ½. For most shops right now, if you want to bet the home team, you’ll have some slight juice between -120 and -125. However, the underdogs almost all have odds of +105 or better, so don’t take the points unless you’re getting better than even money also. The underdog moneyline is between +150 and +160.

Odell Beckham’s Health

Right now the official word on Beckham is that he’ll warm up before the game to see if he is able to play. That’s from ESPN’s Jordan Ranaan on Twitter, and it’s worth noting that he did this last week before being ruled out. However, there seems to be some more optimism that he will suit up.

That being said, if Beckham is able to play, I sincerely doubt he is 100 percent. Not only is he not 100 percent, at best he is likely going to be used as a decoy. This could hurt the Giants’ offense as much as last week, especially if Beckham is limited.

Giants’ Offense and Total Betting

The Giants are going to have to be able to run the ball tonight if they want to win this game. The Giants are at home and they are against a tough offense they will want to keep off the field. Running the football and keeping their defense fresh is what will accomplish that more than anything.

So, while the Lions will want to strike quickly, the Giants will have to control the pace of this game. With a total of 42, which is down from 43 ½ earlier in the week, I an inclined to follow the line movement. We could see a lower scoring game if the Giants control the time of possession, but then again, do we really trust them to?

Although it will likely be the game plan, I can’t put my trust in both the Giants’ defense and their running game. I’m off the total and the spread in this one.

Final Thoughts and Picks

My lone NFL pick on this one is the over for Matt Stafford’s passing yards, but other than that I’m not seeing much value in this one. There is a ton of unknowns with the Giants right now, and for the Lions, I am not yet convinced that their Week-1 win was something sustainable.

I'm Sticking to the Props at Bovada

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