Falcons vs. Patriots Player Prop Bets: Best Week 9 Player Props & TD Predictions

Bijan Robinson is set to bounce back against a very good rush defense, while TreVeyon Henderson gets his first shot at being a No. 1 running back.
Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson - who's highlighted in our Falcons vs. Patriots player props - carries the ball.
Pictured: Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson - who's highlighted in our Falcons vs. Patriots player props - carries the ball. Photo by: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

My best Falcons vs. Patriots player prop bets focus on Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts Sr., and TreVeyon Henderson, ahead of Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET (CBS) game at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. The Patriots are favored by 5.5.

Finding the best plays for this game is about navigating and monitoring multiple key injuries, which could lead to increased or decreased opportunities for important players. For more coverage of this game, check out our NFL predictions for Week 9.


 Falcons vs. Patriots player prop bets

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 9.

💵 Best Falcons vs. Patriots player prop bets

  • Bijan Robinson player prop: Over 104.5 rushing and receiving yards (-111 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Kyle Pitts Sr. player prop: Over 4.5 receptions (+125 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Treyvon Henderson to score a touchdown (-109 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Falcons vs. Patriots player props

⬆️ Bijan Robinson Over 104.5 rushing and receiving yards (-111) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Robinson topped this total in his first five games, but he’s recorded fewer than 100 yards in back-to-back contests, including last week against the Dolphins' 28th-ranked rush defense. While the Patriots have the second-ranked rush defense (76.0 yards per game), Robinson has 33 receptions for 413 yards this year, including two 100-yard receiving games.

DraftKings’ price of -111 implies a 52.61% chance that this Over hits, which feels like a bit of an overreaction to two tough games, considering Robinson has four games with at least 124 yards. A $10 bet would profit $9.01.


💡 NFL expert picks for Week 9


⬆️ Kyle Pitts Sr. Over 4.5 receptions (+125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Pitts has caught at least seven passes in back-to-back weeks and now gets one of the best matchups in the league. The Patriots have given up the fifth-most yards and receptions to tight ends this season.

While the Falcons will get Drake London back, Pitts still leads the team with 39 receptions, and he has at least four receptions in six of seven games. BetMGM’s price of +125 implies a 44.44% chance that Pitts hits this Over. A $10 bet would profit $12.50.

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6️⃣ Best touchdown scorer prediction for Falcons vs. Patriots

🔥 TreVeyon Henderson to score a touchdown (-109) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Rhamondre Stevenson has been ruled out for Sunday’s game, which means the Patriots’ backfield belongs to the rookie Henderson. Henderson has scored only one touchdown this season, but he’s averaging 4.3 yards per carry.

The Falcons have the No. 1 pass defense in football, but they rank just 22nd against the run. While they’ve allowed just four rushing touchdowns this year, Henderson should see all the goal-line opportunities for an offense averaging 26.6 points per game. Caesars’ price implies a 52.15% chance Henderson scores. A $10 bet would profit $9.17.

💡 More Week 9 predictions

Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 9.


📊 Falcons vs. Patriots anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live NFL odds for every game in Week 9.

🔍️ Find the best odds for every bet

Search the best NFL player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.


📺 How to watch Falcons vs. Patriots

  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 2
  • Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
  • Where: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Mass.)
  • TV: CBS

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