Fade Odds Makers & Grab Redskins +4 As Your NFL Pick vs. Cowboys

Nikki Adams

Friday, January 1, 2016 5:35 PM GMT

NFC East champions Washington Redskins descend on the hapless Dallas Cowboys as the road underdogs. Do the bookies have it right? Find out as we weigh in on the NFL odds and serve up our NFL picks.

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NFL Picks: Redskins +4 (-105) 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

Washington Redskins (8-7, 2-5 away)
The Washington Redskisn descend on the Dallas Cowboys as the road underdogs in week 17 NFL betting, despite winning the NFC East title last week over the Eagles in convincing fashion on the road in order to clinch a playoff berth for the first time since 2012 when they won the division behind a 10-6 record.

With one week to go in the regular season, the Redskins aren’t going to rival their last division title winning run, but that’s neither here nor there. Either way, it’s going to be a positive stance, and nobody is going to be apologising for it. At best, they’ll finish 9-7 SU and at worst they’ll finish with a 8-8 mark.

Granted the entire NFC East this season was a mess with none of the teams really looking like they were in it to win it. Form was up and down across the board and it was anybody’s guess which side would take the division. When it mattered the most, the Redskins (long shot NFL pick in preseason NFL betting markets) stepped it up. Reeling off three-straight wins in the last three games of the season, beating Chicago, Buffalo and Philadelphia, they defied the NFL odds and clinched the improbable division title.

 

Dallas Cowboys (4-11, 1-6 home)
By contrast, the Dallas Cowboys sport one of the worst records of the league. At 4-11 SU going into week 17, they’re destined to finish at a low of 4-12 or a blessed high of 5-11. Things started to go south for the Cowboys in week 3, when they were forced to play their first game of the season without Tony Romo. Indeed, they went without a win in seven straight games. The return of Tony Romo in week 10 of the season brought the Cowboys their third win of the season and, in turn, revived their slim hopes for the postseason. Only because of the state of affairs in the NFC East was it possible that in week 10 the Cowboys could entertain realistic hope of a playoff berth.

It all quickly came to naught as Tony Romo promptly suffered another injury and was ruled out for the rest of the season. It was the proverbial last nail in the coffin, so to speak. The Cowboys did manage to defy the NFL odds when they beat the Washington Redskins in the nation’s capital as the 2-point road underdogs, but they failed to win any other game since then which only goes to show the victory was a one-off.

The Cowboys are riding a three-game losing streak into week 17 which includes being outscored 29-to-63. On the season, they are 4-10-1 ATS which includes a 5.9-point losing margin and a 3.5-point differential against the spread.

 

NFL Betting Verdict
How is it possible that the Cowboys are favored in this game at home? It makes no sense when you consider all the facts from the Redskins being the NFC East champions and riding the momentum of a three-game winning streak to the Cowboys propping up the division and riding a three-game losing streak. Granted the Redskins road form leaves something to be desired behind a 2-5 SU mark, but the Cowboys are an even worse 1-6 SU at home. Whichever way you slice this matchup, the Redskins as the road underdogs makes no sense whatsoever, especially when they are trading at more than a field goal disadvantage. Lay the points with the Redskins on your NFL picks.