Exploit Those Weak Lines in Week 7 While It’s Still Early

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, October 17, 2017 3:26 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 17, 2017 3:26 PM UTC

Bargains can be had early in the week if you have multiple outs and know where to shop your lines. A good place to start is SBR odds which reflect numbers from the world’s top online sportsbooks. Let’s see where the NFL odds are going for Week 7.

Cardinals vs. Rams (in London)

The Rams are much better than the pundits anticipated heading into the 2017 season and have a 4-2 record after six games. Their opponents this week in London, the Arizona Cardinals, have been enigmatic at best. The Redbirds were 0-5 ATS before last week’s 38-33 triumph over the Bucs in which they covered as 2½-point home dogs. The NFL odds makers opened this one up with Los Angeles -2, but that number has soared to 3½ in virtually all of the major offshore sportsbooks. Clearly, the sharps are down early on the Rams and perhaps have noticed a pattern with the Cardinals, who have alternated outright wins and losses since the start of the season. If the pattern holds true, the Cards are due to lose this week, but the question is: by how much?

If you like the "home" chalk (Rams are home at Twickenham Stadium), I suggest you grab LA -3 (-130) at 5Dimes because right now they’re the only show in town not moving to 3½ but are making you pay a 30 cent vig for the privilege. If Arizona is your preference you may want to wait this out as I see 4s and perhaps 4½ on the horizon as the week progresses.


Saints at Packers

The vultures began swirling over Lambeau after All-World quarterback Aaron Rodgers went down with a broken collarbone that will in all likelihood end his season. The Saints hit the highway this week and were initially installed as 4½-point road favorites after the news broke that Rodgers would be among the missing for this Week 7 tilt, but that number has continued to climb. If you are backing the boys from the Bayou in your NFL picks you will now have to lay 6 points and that number could continue to rise, although this is still the Green Bay Packers at home so I’m not sure this movement has the impetus to hit seven. Stay tuned.


Seahawks at Giants

Suddenly there’s a little love for Eli Manning and Co., but who wouldn’t be impressed with the Giants’ Sunday night stunner over the heavily favored Broncos at Mile High? This line opened at Seattle -7½ and obviously the euphoria of a Giants victory has not abated as this number is all the way down to -5 in shops like Bookmaker. Most shops are at Seahawks -6 as of this Tuesday morning writing, but the bottom line is that New York is still without Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Marshall for the season, as well as Sterling Shepard, who is expected to miss this matchup. If you love New York at home that touchdown plus number is long gone and impossible to find but you can still get a six-point head start at 5Dimes, Bovada and Intertops. 

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