Expert Tips On How To Bet The Biggest Spreads Found In NFL Week 3 Odds

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, September 25, 2016 2:21 PM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 25, 2016 2:21 PM UTC

Week three of NFL Football brings a stacked card of interesting games. Our expert handicapper takes a look into the biggest spreads on the schedule and provides you with a betting strategy on how to bet them.

A clean sweep on the three biggest spreads in Week 2 as I won on Carolina over San Francisco, Cleveland vs. Baltimore and New England vs. Miami. Here are three of the biggest Week 3 spreads on BetDSI Football odds.


Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins (-10 For NFL Picks)
Honestly, can say I didn't expect the Dolphins to be double-digit favorites at any point in the 2016 season. I mean, this was a 6-10 team last year and it's one of eight winless clubs this season. I tried to find when the last time a 0-2  team was a double-digit favorite but wasn't able to. This is the only game of Week 3 matching two of the eight winless teams. Check out my Week 3 special props story here at SBR for how many 0-2 teams I believe will make the playoffs (hint: 'under'). The big story here is that third-round rookie QB Cody Kessler makes his first NFL start for Cleveland. He was a good player at USC and considered a potential first-round pick after a stellar 2014 season but wasn't quite as good last year. In their wildest dreams, the Browns never expected him to see the field in 2016, but Robert Griffin III hurt his shoulder in Week 1 and then Josh McCown did the same in Week 2. Kessler looked nowhere near ready in the preseason. And he lost his potential top target this week in the receiver Corey Coleman, the Browns' first-round pick this year. Coleman had two touchdowns and 104 yards last week against Baltimore but broke his hand in practice. If you are wondering, recently-signed Charlie Whitehurst -- Clipboard Jesus -- is Kessler's backup. This is Miami's home opener after a really tough first two weeks in Seattle (which the Fins nearly won) and at New England. So it will be the second week in a row that Miami faces a third-round rookie QB because Jacoby Brissett relieved an injured Jimmy Garoppolo last week. The Dolphins will likely be without top running back Arian Foster because of a groin injury. He hadn't done much this season regardless.

NFL Free Pick: You can get this line at 9.5 at some of SBR's top ranked sportsbooks, and I recommend that as the half-point could be crucial. Go Dolphins. Not sure how Cleveland will score. The Browns are 2-10 ATS in their past 12.

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San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks (-9 On NFL Odds)
Interesting a team that has scored just 15 points thus far could be a nine-point favorite as Seattle is. The Seahawks' offense was rendered useless last week in Los Angeles as the Rams pulled off a 9-3 upset in what probably will be the ugliest combined offensive game we see all season and also the lowest scoring. I'll bet anyone out there that there's no other game in 2016 without a touchdown. There's already talk that the Seahawks might try to lure Marshawn Lynch out of retirement because they aren't running the ball all that well. QB Russell Wilson also is off to a slow start and he was one of the MVP betting favorites. The truth is, that Seattle offensive line is a major problem. Seahawks No. 1 running back Thomas Rawls (leg) and top receiver Doug Baldwin (knee) are both listed as questionable for the game but expected to play. The Niners are actually averaging 27.5 points per game but that's largely a mirage. Blaine Gabbert is one of the NFL's lowest-rated QBs (74.4), completing just 54.9 percent of his passes with two picks. San Francisco was swept by a combined score of 49-16 by the Seahawks last year, once with Gabbert starting and once with Colin Kaepernick.

NFL Free Pick: As long as Rawls and Baldwin play, go Seattle as it should be able to win by 10. The 49ers are 0-8-1 ATS in the past nine meetings.

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Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers (-7 In NFL Betting)
Matchup of NFC North teams coming off close losses in Week 2. Green Bay's 17-14 defeat in Minnesota was perfectly understandable, although quarterback Aaron Rodgers' subpar play continued. He fumbled three times, losing one, and threw a late interception that sealed the win for the Vikings. Do you know that Rodgers has now gone 14 straight games (including playoffs) with a quarterback rating of less than 100? He's at just 82.6 for the season, 22nd in the NFL. This from a guy who has the best career QB rating in the league. Carson Wentz has outplayed Rodgers thus far! Meanwhile, the Lions had no right losing last week at home to Tennessee when leading 15-3 in the fourth quarter. To make matters worse, No. 1 tailback Ameer Abdullah injured his foot and could miss the rest of the season. Several defensive players also were injured. It's not looking good for Detroit's best two defenders, end Ezekiel Ansah and linebacker DeAndre Levy, to play this week. The Lions ended a 24-game losing streak in Wisconsin with an 18-16 upset last year but lost at home to the Packers 27-23 on a Rodgers 61-yard Hail Mary.

NFL Free Pick: Green Bay. Some books have this at 7.5 and I wouldn't give that many. In fact, I'd use an alternate line of 6.5 here. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the past eight meetings.  

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