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Top Expert NFL Prop Picks: Week 13

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Top Expert NFL Prop Picks: Week 13
Leonard Fournette #7 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP.

Our football experts make their best Week 13 NFL player and team prop bet picks.

We have 12-to-13 weeks of evidence on how teams are playing and players are faring to guide us in our prop bets.

Here’s a look at the top team and player NFL prop picks for the Week 13 schedule from our team of betting experts (odds via DraftKings, FanDuel; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

NFL Team Prop Picks

NFL Player Prop Picks

Top NFL Week 13 Team Prop Picks

Ravens win 1st half (-170 via FanDuel)

The Ravens face the Pittsburgh Steelers in a divisional matchup that will help Baltimore boost its chances of winning the AFC North. Baltimore has the better defense, an elite kicker, and the biggest game-breaking talent in the NFL. If Lamar Jackson can't lead Baltimore to an early lead against Pittsburgh, I don't know what to think. The value isn't ideal, but Baltimore should have a lead at halftime. - Cox

Buccaneers highest-scoring team Sunday (+700 via FanDuel)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lead the NFL with 31.5 points per game and they're third with 401.7 total yards per game.

The Bucs have also put up at least 31 points in each of their last three meetings with the NFC South rival Atlanta Falcons, including a 48-point onslaught in their Week 2 encounter in Tampa. Atlanta was outscored 68-3 in back-to-back losses before beating the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars 21-14 last week.

The Los Angeles Rams are the favorites in this prop market as 13-point home favorites against the Jacksonville Jaguars, but the Falcons will be better able to help push the Bucs on the scoreboard. - McLaren

SEE ALSO: Buccaneers vs. Falcons Week 13 Picks

Steelers Under 19.5 total points (-110 via DraftKings)

The Ravens have been a surprisingly poor defensive team this year, especially in pass defense, where they rank dead last in the league. However, they got right and built confidence on Sunday Night Football, limiting the Browns to 10 points and 262 total yards.

The Steelers' offense is similar to Cleveland's, as they would like to lean on a solid running game and take the pressure off QB Ben Roethlisberger. Look for Ravens defensive coordinator Don Martindale to dial up similar pressure and for the Ravens to have another successful day on defense. - Spector

Seahawks Under 2.5 touchdowns (-160 via DraftKings)

Watching the Seattle Seahawks' offense has been a form of punishment since Russell Wilson returned from his injury and two-game absence.

The unit was far from a juggernaut prior to Wilson missing time, as Seattle is averaging just 19 points per game overall. But the Seahawks have scored a meager 28 points since Wilson rejoined the huddle in Week 10, a stretch that includes the Green Bay Packers suffocating Seattle's offense while earring a 17-0 shutout.

The Seahawks have recorded just three touchdowns over their current three-game skid, and it's been eight games since they finished with more than two in a contest. - Tomlinson

SEE ALSO: 49ers vs. Seahawks Week 13 Picks

Top NFL Week 13 Player Prop Picks

Harris anytime touchdown (+150 via FanDuel)

Damien Harris is splitting touches in the backfield, but he should see the majority of snaps against the Buffalo Bills. In this game, you will need your proven vets to step up. Harris can win in the red zone and I like him to score here. At the very least, the value helps. - Cox

Hasty anytime touchdown (+400 via DraftKings)

JaMycal Hasty (ankle) has been practicing on a limited basis this week and seems to be trending toward a return to the lineup. Though he has played only five games, he has been the primary pass-catcher out of the San Francisco 49ers' crowded backfield when available. He has 13 receptions on 18 targets for 91 yards, with a long haul of 23 yards.

The Seattle Seahawks represent the ideal matchup for 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan to work him back into the lineup, even if on a limited basis. They allow league-highs of 7.5 receptions and 71.5 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs. Look for Hasty to break a lengthy catch-and-run. - McLaren

Mixon Over 86.5 rushing yards (-115 via DraftKings)

It is incredible that the Chargers are 6-5 and holding one of the AFC's playoff spots despite owning the worst rush defense in the league. Los Angeles has allowed 145.3 yards per game on the ground, which means the league's third-leading rusher, Joe Mixon, is about to feast. Cincinnati has clearly emphasized putting the ball in their playmaker's hands more, as he has ran the ball 58 times in their two games since the bye week. With that kind of usage, he should easily surpass this total once again. - Spector

SEE ALSO: Chargers vs. Bengals Week 13 Picks

Fournette Over 63.5 rushing yards (-115 via DraftKings)

One day, you'll tell great tales about living through The Great Fournette Renaissance of 2021.

Fournette will turn 27 in January, which by running back standards means he's rapidly careening toward his golden years. And yet he's averaging a career-high 4.5 yards per carry. The bruiser is also coming off 100 rushing yards and three touchdowns against the Indianapolis Colts, a team that's mediocre against the run. And now Fournette can pinball his way toward a productive afternoon in another appealing matchup. The Falcons give up 124.9 rushing yards per game and have dropped three of their last five matchups, all while allowing 574 rushing yards to running backs.

Fournette's Week 12 performance may have been a season-high, but he’s still logged four games with 80-plus rushing yards, and five beyond this total. With the Bucs 11-point favorites and well-positioned to thump the spiraling Falcons after beating them 48-25 in Week 2, Fournette should receive plenty of opportunities as his team looks to keep the clock ticking. - Tomlinson

SEE ALSO: All picks and odds. Be sure to check out’s community forums and betting tools.