Expert Final Thoughts Sunday Night Football - Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers player Le'Veon Bell

Kevin Stott

Sunday, October 2, 2016 7:05 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 2, 2016 7:05 PM UTC

Sunday Night Football is in The Steel City for NFL Week 4 and with Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers coming off an embarrassing loss, expect a bounce-back performance from them. Let’s look at both teams and offer up two seemingly NFL picks.

 Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1 SU,2-1 ATS, 65 PS-66 PA) welcome the Kansas City Chiefs (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, 69 PS-49 PA) to Heinz Field in Pittsburgh for this big NFL Regular Season Week 4 AFC showdown on Sunday Night Football. Sportsbooks currently have Pittsburgh as 4½- (Heritage) to 6-point (BetOnline) chalks, so a small middle potential on 5 exists for those who chase that ever elusive mathematical Bigfoot. The total here is 47 (5Dimes) or 47½ (Pinnacle), bet down from its opening 48½ as you can see. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Pittsburgh 6-point favorites in its advanced line last Tuesday (Sept. 20).

In the money Line marketplace, the Steelers are now priced across the broad -205 to-240 range with the low -205 at BetDSI—an Offshore sportsbook which has a 50% Free Play Bonus (to $300).



Key Player Injuries and Suspensions

Kansas City - Phillip Gaines "?" Sunday vs. Pittsburgh (Knee), Jamaal Charles probable Sunday vs. Pittsburgh (Knee), Jah Reid expected to miss Sunday vs. Pittsburgh (Ankle), Parker Ehinger probable Sunday vs. Pittsburgh (Concussion), Sam Barrington probable Sunday vs. Pittsburgh (Hamstring), Josh Mauga IR (Hip), Justin Houston PUP (Knee), Tyler Bray out indefinitely (Back)

Pittsburgh Steelers - Jarvis Jones probable Sunday vs. Kansas City (Ankle), Ryan Shazier expected to miss Sunday vs. Kansas City (Knee), Ramon Foster expected to miss Sunday vs. Kansas City (Chest), Robert Golden expected to miss Sunday vs. Kansas City (Hamstring), Lawrence Timmons probable Sunday vs. Kansas City (Shin), Cody Wallace expected to miss Sunday vs. Kansas City (Knee), Roosevelt Nix expected to miss Sunday vs. Kansas City (Back), Le'Veon Bell is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Kansas City (Suspension), Eli Rogers expected to miss Sunday vs. Kansas City (Toe), Bud Dupree IR (Groin), Ladarius Green PUP (Headache), Bruce Gradkowski IR (Hamstring), Martavis Bryant out for season (Suspension), Senquez Golson out indefinitely (Foot)



Sunday Night Football Trends, Other Trends

The Sunday Night Football Trends here heading into Week 4 show Kansas City 6-7 ATS as a road underdog on TNF with Pittsburgh an impressive 13-7 ATS as home favorite and 12-11 Home O/U. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series in The Steel City while Alex Smith (34-29-2 Away) and the Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in L5 meetings overall. But with the Steelers off such a humbling Week 3 loss to the Eagles, the Art seems to overwhelm any Science here. Expect Ben Roethlisberger (52-41-2 ATS at Home) and Pittsburgh to be motivated and getting RB Le’Veon Bell back from suspension to go with the electric DeAngelo Williams may give the Steelers the NFL’s best Rushing tandem now. The Home team is 6-1 ATS the L7.

Here, expect the fresh memories of the Eagles humiliating to be the hosts guiding thought and with Bell back, the game in Pittsburgh, fear of a 2-2 Regular Season start in their minds and that bad man Antonio Brown on their side, Pittsburgh should win by around 7 here and the Steelers are the NFL Week 4 Pick here. The Chiefs (1-5 ATS L6 following SU Win) just aren’t the team we all want them to be every season. An Otis Taylor is needed.


Predicted Final Score: Steelers 24 Chiefs 17
Sunday NFL Picks: Steelers -4½ -105 at Heritage, Steelers -205 at BetDSI
NFL Picks Season ATS Record: 29-19-0

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