Expert Final Thoughts - New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

New Orleans Saints team gathered around

Kevin Stott

Thursday, November 17, 2016 1:19 PM GMT

The New Orleans Saints have been somewhat of a surprise this season and on TNF, the Who Dats can make this year even more interesting with a win over the defending NFC champion Panthers. Let’s look at some of the trends and breakdown our NFL pick.

 

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers

The Carolina Panthers (3-6 SU, 2-6-1 ATS, 221 PS-226 PA) welcome Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints (4-5 SU, 6-3 ATS, 265 PS-263 PA) to Bank of America Stadium (Grass) in Charlotte Thursday night in the week 11 opener. Offshore sportsbooks currently have the Panthers from 3- to 3½-point favorites after opening up at 4—“Sharp play driving it down to 3½,” Jeff Sherman of the Westgate SuperBook said of the move on Las Vegas radio Monday—with the total at 51½ to 52. The money line odds have the Panthers as -172 chalks with the Saints +152 on the takeback while the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened up Carolina as 5-point favorites in its week 11 advanced line.

Series Trends, Side, Totals, TNF Trends

This NFC South matchup (Road 21-9 ATS L20)—which will be broadcast on Twitter—will be a crippling loss for the ultimate loser and the Thursday Night Football Trends show New Orleans to be 5-4 SU, 2-5 ATS, 1-4 ATS Away and 2-3 ATS vs. the NFC South on TNF (since 1990) while the Panthers —who lost 41-38 in Week 6 at New Orleans (CAR -3, 53½)—are 1-4 SU/ATS, 0-3 ATS at home and 1-1 vs. its division on Thursdays, so neither team has been great on this day of the week.

 

Mark Ingram and the Saints are 4-1 ATS the L5 in this series after that aforementioned outright underdog win in The Big Easy, 6-0 ATS their L6 Road games, 6-1 ATS L7 vs. NFC South but 3-12-1 the L16 games in November. Cam Newton (26-21-1 ATS at Home) and the Panthers are 8-3 ATS the L11 at Home but 1-4 L5 vs. NFC South and 1-5-1 L7 overall. The Under is 10-3 the L13 in this series in Charlotte, 14-3 the L17 Saints Week 11 games but the Over is 17-6 the L23 Panthers games against the NFC and 4-0 the L4 meetings (79, 79, 49, 51 points).

Final Thoughts In A Sentence, Game Pick

This should be close throughout with heavy passing with both knowing how serious a loss would be to their Records meaning a quick Pace but with New Orleans very capable of winning this one outright, taking the Saints and the 3½ seems wisest in this spot.

 

Predicted Final Score: Panthers 29 Saints 27Free NFL PICK: Saints +3½ -115 at Intertops

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