Expert Final Thoughts - N.Y. Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers players in action

Kevin Stott

Sunday, October 9, 2016 2:31 PM GMT

On Sunday Night Football week 5, Eli Manning and the G-Men will really be up against a rested Packers squad coming off their bye week. Let’s handicap this NFL showdown and offer up a pair of NFL picks.

New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers

The Green Bay Packers (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 75 PS-67 PA) welcome the New York Giants (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 73 PS-85 PA) to Lambeau Field in Green Bay on Sunday Night Football for a huge week 5 primetime showdown. Offshore sportsbooks currently have the Packers as 7 to 7½-point favorites with the total at 47½ and at 48 at almost all others. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Green Bay as 6½-point, 115 favorites in its advanced line last Tuesday. The Cheeseheads come in here off their Bye Week.

In the moneyline market, Green Bay is priced in a -330 (Bookmaker) to -350 range (Intertops) with the low at Bookmaker—sportsbook which has a solid A+ grade here at SBR and which has a 50% Free Play Bonus (up to $300)—with the G-Men (8-3 ATS L11 Week 5) high takeback at +297 (Pinnacle).

                               

 

Key Player Injuries and Suspensions

NY Giants - Larry Donnell expected to miss Sunday vs. Green Bay (Concussion), Nat Berhe expected to miss Sunday vs. Green Bay (Concussion), Rashad Jennings "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay (Thumb), Darian Thompson expected to miss Sunday vs. Green Bay (Foot), Eli Apple "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay (Hamstring), Marshall Newhouse expected to miss Sunday vs. Green Bay (Calf), Robert Thomas probable Sunday vs. Green Bay (Illness), Shane Vereen IR (Tricep), Mykkele Thompson IR (Knee), J.T. Thomas IR (Knee), Matt LaCosse IR (Knee), Nikita Whitlock IR (Foot)

Green Bay Packers - Aaron Ripkowski probable Sunday vs. NY Giants (Back), Letroy Guion probable Sunday vs. NY Giants (MCL), Clay Matthews probable Sunday vs. NY Giants (Ankle), Datone Jones probable Sunday vs. NY Giants (Knee), Morgan Burnett probable Sunday vs. NY Giants (Groin),  Jared Cook out indefinitely (Ankle), Sam Shields out indefinitely (Concussion), Corey Linsley PUP (Hamstring), Demetri Goodson expected to miss first 4 games (Suspension), Mike Pennel expected to miss first 4 games (Suspension)

 

Sunday Night Football Trends & Rest Factor

The Sunday Night Football Trends here heading into NFL Week 5 show New York to be 14-13 ATS on the Road and 15-15 as an Underdog on SNF with Green Bay 7-6 ATS at Home, 11-8 ATS as a Favorite and 7-1 ATS its L8 Thursdays with Rest—and this team will have had 13 Days of that precious NFL Regular Season  commodity. The Giants are 4-0 ATS in the L4 in this infrequent series and 3-1 ATS the L4 on in America’s Dairyland but New York is 1-5 ATS in its L6 overall, 0-6-1 the L7 against a Road Team with a Winning Record and 2-5 ATS the L7 games in the month of October.

 

Aaron Rodgers (39-32-3 ATS at Home) and Green Bay are 5-0 ATS the L5 games on Grass, has the least number of Penalties in the NFL so far this year (15) and the Packers will be well-rested while Big Blue—#30 in Turnovers (-8)—and perpetually confused and dismayed QB Eli Manning (41-42-2 ATS Off Loss) will be playing its second straight primetime Road game vs. a rugged NFC North opponent (Vikings, Week 4). Any silly mistakes will bury the Giants here.

 

Predicted Final Score: Packers 33 Giants 22
Free NFL Pick: Packers -7 -115 & Over 47.5 at Bookmaker
NFL Picks Season ATS Record: 36-22-0

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