Expert Final Thoughts - Monday Night Football: Buffalo Bills vs Seattle Seahawks

Lorenzo Alexander

Kevin Stott

Sunday, November 6, 2016 9:24 PM GMT

Sunday, Nov. 6, 2016 9:24 PM GMT

Let’s handicap the Bills vs. Seahawks and offer up three Unders Totals—1Q, 1H and game—picks in an infrequent series which has seen 8 straight Overs. Perhaps Papa has lost his bleeding mind?

 

NFL PICKS SEASON RECORD: 58-36-2

Buffalo Bills vs Seattle Seahawks (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. EDT/5:30 p.m. PDT)

The Buffalo Bills (4-4 SU/ATS, 212 PS-172 PA) head to CenturyLink Field in Seattle to face Russell Wilson and the Seahawks (4-2-1 SU, 3-4 ATS, 131 PS-109 PA) on Monday Night Football and the Week 9 closer. Sportsbooks have the Seahawks as 7- (BetOnline) to 7½-point (+120, 5Dimes) favorites with the Total from 43½to 44 (-114, Pinnacle). The Money Line sees Seattle at -290 (Intertops) with Buffalo +245 while the 1st Half odds see Seattle at -4 (BetDSI) with the Total at 21½ (-115, BetDSI) everywhere but 5Dimes (22). The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Seattle up 7-point favorites in its Week 9 Advanced Line.

 

Bills at Seahawks, 11/7/16

 

Monday Night Football Trends, Other Series Trends, Bills vs. Seahawks Picks

The MNF Trends have the Bills 5-8 ATS as Road Underdogs with Buffalo Totals 10-13 Away and 6-2 the L8 overall while the Seahawks are an impressive 8-4 ATS as MNF Home chalks and 9-12 O/U in the Emerald City. The Bills (105/1 to win Super Bowl, 5Dimes) are 4-1 ATS L5 in this series and are #1 in the NFL in Rushing (1,233 yards) and with McCoy back, look for he and QB Tyrod Taylor (5-5-1 ATS Road) to try to establish the Run against the ferocious Seahawks Defense (#5 vs. Rush, 628 yards), possibly consuming large chunks of Time but resulting in minimal points (Under 5-0 L5 SEA Monday). Jimmy Graham and Seattle (9/1 to win Super Bowl at BetOnline—an A+ graded sportsbook offering a 50% Free Play Bonus—will have the big Home advantage here, as travelling the 2,580 miles from upstate New York to the Pacific Northwest and losing 3 Body Clock Hours is an edge, but Buffalo gets more Time with it being Monday Night Football and the later start time.

 

 

Buffalo is 1-10 ATS its L11 following a Double-Digit Loss at Home but 6-1-1 their L8 on FieldTurf while Seattle is 20-5-2 ATS its L27 after getting more than 250 Passing Yards in their previous game, 7-2-1 the L10 on Mondays but 2-5 ATS the L7 on FieldTurf. Two Trends that fly in the face of backing the Under? The Over has W8 in this series—4 straight in Seattle—so that Trend is being dismissed as the now 27-year-old Wilson is less mobile than he once was and Seattle’s Defense is better than earlier meetings

 

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Seahawks 19 Bills 16Free NFL Picks: Under 1st Quarter 7½ , Under 1st Half 22, Under 44Best Lines Offered: at Pinnacle

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