Expert Final Thoughts - How To Bet Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Steelers Players

Kevin Stott

Sunday, January 15, 2017 3:14 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 15, 2017 3:14 PM UTC

After multiple weather reports, the NFL decided to move this game start to 8:20pm, can the Chiefs win and make it into the AFC Finals or will Big Ben, be too much for the Little Engine that Could from Kansas City?

Sunday, January 15, 2017—AFC Divisional Round Odds Preview

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (NBC, 1:05 p.m. EST): The Pittsburgh Steelers (12-5 SU, 10-6-1 ATS) head to Arrowhead Stadium (Grass) in Kansas City (Rain, 37°F, E Winds to 15 mph) to face the Chiefs (12-4 SU, 9-7 ATS) in this AFC Divisional matchup Sunday. KC are 1- to 1½-point Favorites with the Total 43½ to 44 and with the Moneyline seeing the Chiefs -120 chalks with Pittsburgh +110. The 1st Half odds seeing KC ½-point favorites with the 1st Half Total 22.These two met at Heinz Stadium in Week 4 with Pittsburgh rolling as 3-point favorites, 43-14 (48½). The weather  forecast forced the league to change the start time for this game from the afternoon to a prime time slot.


Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers (+530 to win AFC, 5Dimes) ousted the Dolphins in the Wild Card but now Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown (9-2 SU Together) have a huge task going to a tough Site to play a Rested team with a solid Defense. This could be close and OT is a possibility (10/1, William Hill).

The Steelers (8/1 to win Super Bowl, SuperBook) are 4-0 ATS L4 Road, 3-0-1 ATS L4 Divisional Playoffs, 5-1-1 ATS L7 vs. AFC and 6-1-1 ATS L8 overall. The Over is 16-5-1 L22 Steelers Playoff games, 21-6-1 L28 in January while the Under is 21-8-1 L30 vs. AFC, 14-7 L21 Pittsburgh overall and 4-1 L5 series meetings.


Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs (+1,125 to win Super Bowl, Heritage) are #1 in TO Margin (+16), and even with Derek Johnson (Achilles’) out, KC (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS L12) should be up for the challenge. And HC Andy Reid (19-2 SU off Byes) now has an Offense (24.3 ppg) as valuable as his Defense (19.4 ppg) with Alex Smith clicking at QB and Travis Kelce, Jeremy Maclin and super Rookie Tyreek Hill reaping the benefits.

The Under is 37-15 L52 KC Home and 57-28-2 L87 Grass while the Chiefs (4/1 to win AFC, SuperBook) are 5-1 ATS L5 vs. Winning-Record Teams and Overall and 4-1 ATS L5 Grass and vs. AFC. But KC is 1-7 ATS L8 Playoffs and 0-4 ATS L4 Home Playoff and Divisional Playoff games. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS L5 in the series while the Home team is 7-1 ATS.


Despite Rain, Cold, and Trends, Points Should Be Scored

Mother Nature hints at a low-scoring affair, but Roethlisberger (Ankle) will be able to get Bell and Brown the ball while it’s impossible to imagine a Chiefs game without Hill darting for a TD. This is a psychological thing—with KC needing to believe it can knock off the more experienced team and get over the hump but trying to stop a healthy Brown-Bell may be asking too much.


PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Steelers 27 Chiefs 24Free NFL Pick: Steelers +110

Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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