Expert Final Thoughts - How To Bet Dolphins vs. Jets

Miami Dolphins players in action

Kevin Stott

Friday, December 16, 2016 8:47 PM GMT

Are you ready for some rare NFL Saturday Night Football? The Dolphins saw starting QB Ryan Tannehill go down injured last week, so the fish must turn to Matt Moore in Week 15 at what will be a bitter cold MetLife Stadium against the Jets.

Miami Dolphins vs N.Y. Jets  

The Miami Dolphins (8-5 SU, 7-6 ATS, 281 PS-301 PA) head to frigid East Rutherford, NJ (Cloudy, periods of Rain, 40°, Winds SW 10-22 mph) to face the New York Jets (4-9 SU, 5-8 ATS, 229 PS-324 PA) on a special Saturday night AFC East week 15 primetime treat.

NFL odds have the Dolphins 2- to 3-point favorites with the total at 38 in this matchup, even with Miami starting QB Ryan Tannehill (Knee) out injured and Matt Moore slated to go (Dolphins signed TJ Yates Tuesday).

The money line odds see Miami -130 favorites with New York +118 with the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opening up the Seahawks 3½-point chalks in its NFL Week 15 Advanced Line before we all knew Tannehill (ACL) would go out injured in week 14.

 

Series, Side, and Totals Trends, Dolphins-Jets Handicap

One of the most eye-popping trends in this Dolphins-Jets matchup is Miami’s 1-12 ATS mark L13 in December, meaning the most southern team in the league has profited those fading the Dolphins in poor weather, and with Moore forced into action at the J-E-T-S, Jets! Jets! Jets! At Home, that taking New York would be a no-brainer here, but this is the Jets we’re talking about. Boise State-cold ready product Jay Ajayi and the Dolphins are also 1-8 ATS L9 on FieldTurf, 3-9 ATS L12 against their own AFC East and 2-6 ATS L8 Saturdays.

Kiko Alonso and the Dolphins also are an abysmal 10-25-1 ATS L36 meetings in this series, although Miami has improved much over the decade and the Road team is 13-6-1 ATS L20 meetings. New York (2-4 ATS Home) is 7-1-1 ATS L9 in December, 8-3-1 ATS L12 vs. AFC East and 4-1-1 ATS its L6 Saturday games.

The Jets cheerleaders know the Under is 5-1 L6 Dolphins Saturday games, 24-9 their L33 on FieldTurf, 9-4 13 Jets December dates and 5-1 L6 in this series played in Jersey. The Over is 6-1 L7 Dolphins overall, 4-0 Miami’s L4 vs. the AFC and 5-1 L6 vs. AFC East. Miami pushed ATS as 4-point favorites in Miami Gardens (MIA -4, 45½) in the first meeting, 27-23.

 

Final Thoughts

This is a tough handicap, with backup Moore a big unknown, Miami’s ability to play in the cold and in December and on FieldTurf all in question. But hush now baby, baby, don't you cry, with the forecasted top Wind Speeds near 20 mph and Winter Storm Decima on the horizon.

Neither the Miami (23.2 ppg T-#17 NFL) nor Jets Defense (24.9 ppg, #24 NFL) impress, but nothing should have as big of an impact as Mother Nature here, with the Sunshine State boys hating the 3rd and 4th Quarters. Still, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Matt Forte', Brandon Marshall and the Jets Offense ( 17.6 ppg, T-#28) has just had too much trouble putting points on the scoreboard and their 1-5 SU Home record doesn’t exactly inspire. The frozen Fish, Mrs. Paul? Yes, the frozen Fish.

 

Predicted Final Score: Dolphins 19 Jets 15Free NFL Picks: Dolphins -130Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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