Expert Final Thoughts: Giants At Eagles In Thursday Night Finale

eli manning giants

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, December 21, 2016 2:19 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 21, 2016 2:19 PM UTC

The Giants can clinch a playoff spot in the 2016 Thursday night finale with a win as New York heads to Philadelphia to face Carson Wentz and the Eagles in an NFC East date. With the Giants as 2½-point favorites, is there any value in backing Eli Manning and the visitors here? Season record: 80-57-3.

New York Giants At Philadelphia Eagles

Legend has it, they booed (and threw snowballs) Santa Claus in Philadelphia, but it’s not a legend. And there’s always a reason why in this thing called life and when Saint Nick brings you a damn Chia Mr. T,, a complete Nickelback boxed-set and a $10 gift certificate from Dress Barn, what in the name of Rudolph are you supposed to do, brother? Cheer? On Thursday night at Lincoln Financial Field (Desso GrassMaster) in Philadelphia (clear, 31°), the Eagles (5-9 SU, 7-6 ATS, 316 PS-299 PA) welcome the Giants (10-4 SU, 8-5-1 ATS, 272 PS-250 PA) for the Week 16 opener in which offshore odds see the Giants as 2½- (BetDSI) to 3-point favorites (+100, Bovada) with the total from 41½ (BetOnline) to 42 (Pinnacle).

The Moneyline odds see Odell Beckham Jr. and as a New York -145 chalk with Philadelphia at +125 (Pinnacle) and the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the Eagles 3-point chalk (Even) in its NFL Week 16 Advanced Line, while in its 2016 Games of the Year, the SuperBook had Philadelphia as a 2-point favorite for this game, which will be livestreamed on Twitter.

A Fun Fact: Washington has a +13 point differential and is still in the NFC playoff race while Philly is at +17 and will be getting a lump of coal and two Hot Pockets in its stockings. Cheesesteak-flavored, of course.

TNF Series, Side and Totals Trends

New York (+2550 to win Super Bowl, 5Dimes) is 5-3 SU, 7-1 ATS (4-1 ATS road) on Thursdays and with Philadelphia -- which has L5 straight and may be without the services of Darren Sproles (concussion) for a second straight week — 4-4 SU/ATS, 3-2 ATS at home and 0-1 ATS as an underdog. Though not numbers, what the Giants have done in term of being the only team to beat the Cowboys (twice) and be the first team to get some distance (point-wise) between themselves and the Lions is very impressive and make them -- along with the Steelers (+1150 to win Super Bowl, 5Dimes) and Chiefs (+1650 to win Super Bowl, Heritage) -- a decent underdog pick to win Super Bowl LI.

The Giants won 28-23 in the first meeting on Nov. 6 at MetLife (NYG -3, 43) and Manning (40-34-2 ATS vs. NFC East) but New York is 2-5 ATS the L7 vs the Eagles. The 'under' has W6 straight in this NFC East matchup played in Philadelphia with 34, 27, 22, 36, 45 and 44 points being scored, so for some reason in this rivalry, games in The Big Apple go 'over' (5-1 L6) while games in Philadelphia have gone 'under.'

Final Thoughts: Big Blue Has Momentum

The Eagles' skill position players have been a liability, and with Sproles a question mark and their starting QB (Wentz) is still a rookie, so advantage New York (19.4 ppg, #24 NFL) which has a grizzled vet at QB (Manning) and has had  a great defense (17.9, #3 in NFL).

The skinny here is that the Giants have become an 'under' team (6 straight, 11-3) and with WNW winds of 10-15 mph, their defense playing great and a win needed, scoring could be at a premium in this prime-time matchup. Especially for the hosts.

Predicted Final Score: Giants 24, Eagles 13NFL Free Picks: Giants -2.5 & 'Under' 42Best Line Offered: Heritage

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