Expert Final Thoughts & Free Picks - Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco 49ers during practice

Kevin Stott

Thursday, October 6, 2016 2:23 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 6, 2016 2:23 PM UTC

Arizona Cardinals head to Santa Clara for Thursday Night Football game which will provide a devastating result for the game’s ultimate loser with a 1-4 start. Let’s look at the Cardinals-49ers odds and make a totals NFL pick.

Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers 

The Arizona Cardinals (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS, 92 PS-80 PA) head to Santa Clara to face the San Francisco 49ers (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS, 90 PS-107 PA) at Levi’s Stadium on Thursday Night Football in the NFL Season Week 5 lidlifter, in a huge NFC West game in that the loser will be looking at a 1-4 start and all the blech that comes with that ugly October truth. Offshore sportsbooks have the visiting Cardinals as 4-point (Intertops) with the Total at 43. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Arizona 4-point chalks in its Advanced Line, showing how little perceptions changed despite Cardinals starting QB Carson Palmer still in the NFL’s Concussion Protocol (Tuesday night) and his status here murky.

Arizona is priced at -200 in the money line (Winner) market at Intertops—which has a solid A grade and features a 200%% Cash Bonus (to $50) for new customers—with the 49ers +170 on the takeback.


Key Player Injuries and Suspensions

Arizona Cardinals - Drew Stanton expected to start Thursday vs. San Francisco (None), Chris Johnson IR (Groin), Carson Palmer is downgraded to doubtful Thursday vs. San Francisco (Concussion), Frostee Rucker "?" Thursday vs. San Francisco (Knee), Mike Jenkins IR (Knee), Elie Bouka IR (Leg)

San Francisco 49ers - DeForest Buckner doubtful Thursday vs. Arizona (Foot), NaVorro Bowman IR (Achilles), Jimmie Ward "?" Thursday vs. Arizona (Quad), Vance McDonald probable Thursday vs. Arizona (Hip), Anthony Davis has retired (Concussion), Ray-Ray Armstrong IR (Pectoral), Ian Williams IR (Ankle), Will Redmond IR (ACL), Thad Lewis IR (Knee), Aaron Lynch "?" Thursday vs. Arizona (Suspension Served), Bruce Ellington IR (Hamstring)


Arizona Cardinals 1st Quarter Ineptness, Trends, Cardinals vs. 49ers

With the Rams and Seahawks both 3-1, the loser here will be in serious trouble in the NFC West and if that loser happens to be the Cardinals—who face the Jets (1-3 SU) at Home next week on Monday Night Football (AZ -6½, SuperBook Advanced Line)—then the added pressure of media pile-on will occur for this talented franchise which has all the toys in the world but an injured and aging QB. And if the 36-year-old Palmer can’t go, we may have a Drew Stanton-Blaine Gabbert duel, so best double up on the alcohol and quadruple down on the betting amount here.                            

Some Trends: The Cardinals were 5-2 ATS are Road Favorites last season, Arizona is 3-1 ATS L4 vs. the Niners and the Cardinals are 7-1 ATS as Favorites after BTB SU/ATS Losses (Bills, Rams) in the 2nd Quarter (Weeks 5-8) of the NFL Season. And the Cards were 34-0 SU when leading after 3 Quarters until last Sunday, when the Rams outscored them 7-0 in 4Q in Glendale to win, 17-13. But the biggest research find here is that Arizona hasn’t even scored in the 1st Quarter, being outscored 27-0. This, from a team 2nd in the NFL in Points Scored (489) last season. This, combined with the probable starting QBs makes the 1st Half Under (22, 5Dimes) an NFL Week 4 Pick worth contemplation.


Predicted Final Score: Cardinals 17 49ers 13
NFL Week 5 Thursday Pick: 1st Half Under 22 at 5Dimes
NFL Picks Season Record: 35-22-0

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