Expert Final Thoughts - Denver Broncos vs San Diego Chargers

Broncos QB Trevor Siemian in action

Thursday, October 13, 2016 1:57 PM GMT

San Diego Chargers are finding ways not to win, and unluckily for them on Thursday Night Football, they host the Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos. Let’s look at the odds, trends for this week 6 game and make a logical NFL pick.

 Denver Broncos vs. San Diego Chargers

The Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos (3-1 SU/ATS, 127 PS-87 PA) head to Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego (66°) to play the Chargers (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS, 152 PS-142 PA) on Thursday Night Football in the week 6 opener and big AFC West game for the hosts. Offshore sportsbooks currently have the Broncos 3- to 3½-point favorites with the total at 45 or 45½ with Denver priced at -180 in the money line market at offshore sportsbook Intertops—which has an A grade and features a 200% Cash Bonus for new customers—with San Diego +160 on the takeback. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Denver as 3-point chalks in its Week 6 Advanced Line.

 

 

News, Trends, Injuries, Game Handicap

The three biggest things from the Broncos perspective here are: 1—They are starting QB Trevor Siemian who was out, due to a shoulder injury, after Paxton Lynch was less than impressive last week in the Broncos first loss of the season to the Falcons in Denver; 2—Head Coach Gary Kubiak is taking the week off after being hospitalized Monday for fatigue meaning Joe DeCamillis will serve as Denver’s Interim HC. 3—The Broncos have W15 straight AFC Road games. Toss in some anger from coming off a loss, one of the NFL’s best defenses and the reality of playing a snakebitten Chargers team and this matchup is good for Denver (2-0 ATS at SD L2; DEN 17-3 in 2015, DEN -6, 45).

Even though Injuries to Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead crippled the Bolts offense, Brees, Melvin Gordon, and San Diego have been in all five of its games and have 4 losses by a total of 14 points and a Wall Street firm put the Chargers chances of losing those games it led late at 30,000,000-to-1, although it’s hard to believe when it has already happened once in a league that’s 96 years old and which has freaky-ass teams like the Chargers—who have played a weak schedule—playing in it. San Diego (2-7 ATS HD L4+ years) may give up the ghost four more times in the 4th Quarter this season for all we know so backing the Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders and the more reliable Broncos here is the NFL Week 6 Pick—by the same score, it won in Denver last season.

 

Predicted Final Score: Broncos 27 Chargers 20Free NFL Pick: Broncos -3 -113 at PinnacleNFL Picks Season Record: 38-27-1

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