Expert Final Thoughts - Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers walking into field

Kevin Stott

Thursday, October 20, 2016 1:08 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 20, 2016 1:08 PM UTC

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers welcome the 1-5 Chicago Bears to Lambeau Field for Thursday Night Football Let’s look at all of the relevant trends, injuries and other information and make an NFL pick. 




Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers

The wobbly Chicago Bears (1-5 SU/ATS, 101 PS-143 PA) head to Green Bay and historic Lambeau Field to face the Packers (3-2 SU, 2-2-1 ATS) on Thursday Night Football in the week 7 lidlifter and big NFC North game. Offshores currently have the Packers as 9- (-113, Pinnacle) to 9½-point favorites (Bookmaker) with the total at 45½ (BetDSI) to 46 at BetOnline, a sportsbook with an A+ grade, while in the money line marketplace, Green Bay is -345 (5Dimes) with Chicago +315. The SuperBook opened the Packers 10½-point favorites in its advanced line while it had Green Bay -8½—bet up to 11—in its games of the year.



Series Trends, Injuries & Game Handicap For Thursday Night Football

The Packers will be playing their 4th straight home game—a real rarity and with a bye week tucked in Week 4, Green Bay won’t have to leave America’s Dairyland in October until the 30th (@ ATL). So, either a great schedule or a scary one, loaded with 6 road games in L10 and nasty December home dates with NFC powerhouses the Seahawks (12/11) and Vikings (12/24). So winning here against the Bears—who beat the Packers here as 8-point dogs in week 12 last season, 17-13—is imperative.

This is a bad scheduling spot for Chicago, which may have many, and at 1-5 ATS with losses of 9, 15, 14, 6 and 1, are hard to make instant-fade material as Chicago seems to play a little better under Brian Hoyer compared to Jay Cutler and Hoyer’s numbers over recent play have been similar to Rodgers’.

Green Bay is first in the NFL in converting on 3rd down and has the #6 Defense but is plagued with injuries to key offensive skill players like Eddie Lacy (Ankle, Out), Davante Adams (Concussion) and James Starks (Meniscus Surgery, Out), so they signed Knile Davis (Chiefs) Tuesday and are thinking about signing practice squad RB Don Jackson. This is a spot where looking for the best number if taking the Packers (4-1 ATS L5 at Home vs. Bears) is huge, and with so much action on Chicago driving the number down to 7½ in most places, waiting for, buying the ½ or finding a (7 -120, CG Technology) is the key to this NFL week 7 Pick as no matter how beat up they are and how bad the Packers have become, this is still a game between maybe the 10th best team in the league at home against one of the NFL's worst teams.


Predicted Final Score: Packers 27 Bears 17Free NFL Pick: Packers -7.5 at 5DimesNFL Picks Season Record: 45-30-1

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