Expect One Sided Affair for Jets vs. Patriots Week 7 NFL Picks

Swinging Johnson

Monday, October 13, 2014 5:23 PM GMT

The New England Patriots are sole owners of first-place in the AFC East while the Jets struggle with one of the worst records in football but the NFL odds are a great equalizer so which team is most likely to cash in our NFL picks on Thursday night?

New York Jets (1-5 SU, 0-5-1 ATS)
If you have included the Jets in your NFL picks this season then you have my condolences. And just when it seemed they would finally reward all those bettors who couldn’t ignore all the points this home dog was getting, Geno Smith tossed a money burning interception with 15 seconds remaining that was returned for a touchdown by Broncos cornerback Aquib Talib which turned what looked to be a surefire NFL odds winner into a blown ATS cover as the Broncos left MetLife Stadium with a 31-17 victory. New York is currently a moribund franchise with no hope, no options and no quarterback capable of doing any real damage.

The Jets travel to Foxboro ranked dead last in passing yardage but a solid 12th ranked rushing attack. New York is also mired in the NFL statistical muck muck in points scored (29th) and points allowed (25th). While the Jets can be credited with getting Jace Amaro more integrated into their game plan last week, 10 catches for 68 yards and a touchdown, they did lose guard Brian Winters (torn ACL) and cornerback Dee Milliner (torn Achilles) for the foreseeable future.

 

New England Patriots (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS)
And just like that Tom Brady sheds his two-dime Tom Ford sweater and a pair of luxurious camel-haired Ugg Boots for a Patriots jersey and a Flying Elvis helmet but like Clark Kent before him turns not into Superman but Tom Terrific. Patriots Nation exhaled a collective sigh of deep relief as the Pats made the trek north and came away with a 37-22 victory over their AFC East rivals on Sunday and an easy cover in NFL odds. But what might be even more heartening than the win itself was the stellar four-touchdown performance and the 361-yard aerial blitzkrieg the future Hall-of-Famer dropped on the beguiled Buffalo Bills.

However the victory did not come without a cost. Defensive captain Jerod Mayo may have played his last down this season after suffering an ACL tear while running back Stevan Ridley will undergo an MRI on Monday to determine the severity of his knee injury. What is no doubt lost in all of this is the fact that Tom Brady was listed as questionable before Sunday’s game in Buffalo due to an ankle injury and while Brady’s performance was vintage 2007 it is still not known if the ankle is better, worse or the same. Meanwhile the offensive line, though far more cohesive than in their epic failure two weeks ago in Kansas City, is still a work in progress with the patchwork additions and subtractions of veterans and rookies due to injuries and subpar play.

 

Free NFL Pick
The NFL odds opened New England at -7 ½ but that number is long gone and hard to find. As of this writing the numbers range from 9 ½ to 10 ½ depending upon which offshore shop you frequent. While I don’t underestimate the loss of a starting running back like Stevan Ridley I am not as concerned about the Patriots ground attack as I am their loss of Jerod Mayo on the defensive side of the ball. Factor into that mix that Dont’a Hightower, top rookie draft pick Dominique Easley and Brandon Browner were all inactives in Sunday’s game and you have a defense that may be susceptible to an opportunistic offense. Fortunately for the Patriots, the Jets don’t possess that and it should be a one-sided affair in Foxboro.

NFL Picks: Patriots – 9 ½ at Bet365.com.

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