Early Look at Week 7 NFL Odds and Top Picks

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, October 14, 2014 12:04 PM GMT

With Week 7 NFL Lines already in full flight across online sportsbook platforms, here’s a look at some of the early NFL odds in search of the best value NFL picks to spot early. 

Carolina Panthers +7.0 vs. Green Bay Packers -7.0
Odds makers persistently underrate the Carolina Panthers (3-2-1, 1-1-1 away) despite going back-to-back undefeated, including week 6’s sensational 37-37 tie in which Cam Newton had a monster game, going 29-of-46 passes for 284 yards and two touchdowns and one interception along with over 100 yards rushing. In a way, it’s understandable the Panthers would be disadvantaged. Green Bay Packers have form right now behind three straight wins and outscoring opposition 107 to 51.  Still, the Panthers have looked down and out in their last two games only to come back each time – to clinch the win over the Bears in week 5 NFL betting and then holding the Bengals to a tie last Sunday. It’s been a bit of a roller coaster ride with the Panthers this season, but one thing is certain: you can’t write them off. They should be a going concern for the Packers, more so than the 7-points would suggest. (Panthers are 4-2 ATS this season while the Packers are 3-2-1 ATS).

NFL Picks: Panthers +7.0 at William Hill

 

Cleveland Browns -4.0 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
This NFL odds betting spread is way too low and makes very little sense. Well, the Browns are 3-0-2 ATS this season with an average margin of victory that stands at 3.8 points. But the relevant take away here is a) they have a perfect 100% winning ratio despite two pushes and b) they’ve managed to cash in on the spread against some credible opponents. Jacksonville Jaguars are anything but credible. Certainly, they don’t warrant the benefit of such a low spread, which practically suggests they are of similar quality and calibre as the Browns.

The Jaguars have been systematically outscored this season conceding on average a toe-curling 30-points-plus per game. Granted they are after a narrow 16-14 defeat, but let’s not forget it was to the Tennessee Titans, who have their own woes to contend with this season. Surely NFL bettors can’t put any stock into that result. If all that’s not enough to sway the betting public heavily towards the Browns at a steal price of 4-points, consider the Browns are averaging 26.8 points per game and the Jaguars are 0-2 ATS at home with an average margin of defeat that stands at a sky-scraping 17.5.

NFL Picks: Browns -4.0

 

Houston Texans +3.5 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Pittsburgh Steelers don’t impress anybody these days. They are after an abysmal 31-10 defeat to the Cleveland Browns on the road last Sunday, which saw them slip to 3-3SU and drop into the basement of the AFC North standings. The most concerning aspect is the fact that they are averaging 20.7 points but conceding 23.2 points per game. What’s more, they are 0-2-0 ATS at home and 2-4 ATS overall this season. By contrast, the Houston Texans, who have shown a lot of promise through six games, are unfortunate not to be 5-1 SU on the season (or at the very least 4-2 SU). They are after back-to-back narrow defeats to two solid outfits enjoying good form – 20-17 in overtime at Dallas and 33-28 at home to Indianapolis. On both occasions, the Texans rose to the challenge, played up to their opponents and came close to orchestrating the upset. Overall, the Texans are 4-2 ATS this season and a positive 2-1 ATS on the road. They have been scoring 22 points per game on average, while conceding just 20.0 points. Before making your Week 7 NFL picks, keep in mind that if the Texans continue on the positive vein and the defense continues to make big plays the Steelers will have their hands full.

NFL Picks: Texans +3.5