Early Look at Week 6 NFL Odds and Top Picks

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, October 7, 2014 12:53 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 7, 2014 12:53 PM GMT

As week 6 NFL betting looms on the horizon, we shop the early NFL odds on the board. We look at three future Hall of Fame quarterbacks in action this week, on the road, who aren’t getting much respect in the NFL betting markets. Do the odds makers have it right?

Denver Broncos -6.0 (-105) vs. New York Jets +6.0 (-115)
Denver Broncos (3-1SU and 1-3 ATS) finally covered this season behind a convincing win over the Arizona Cardinals as the 7-point chalk. The New York Jets were rendered pointless in a 31-0 loss in San Diego on Sunday, putting up absolutely no resistance against Philipp Rivers and company as the 7-point underdogs. Neither Geno Smith nor Michael Vick have the answers at centre while the Jets defense is looking rather weary and worse for wear at this early vantage point in the season.

All in all, every indication points to another ugly, forgettable game for the Jets. The Jets have allowed three of their last five opponents to throw for almost 300-yards, a generosity that surely isn’t going to go begging when Peyton Manning and the Broncos descend on the Jets. The Broncos are third in the league with 317.0 yards on average per game all while scoring 29.0 points per game as well.

Last week, the Chargers were installed as the 7-point favourites at the expense of the Jets. Granted they had home advantage over the Jets. But Rivers isn’t in the same league as Peyton, who scored his 500th touchdown on Sunday – then his 501st, 502nd and, oh, his 503rd career touchdown. Seriously, six-points only for the Broncos as the road chalk? Should be peanuts to cover.

NFL Picks: Broncos -6.0 (-105)
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New England Patriots -3.0 (-110) vs. Buffalo Bills +3.0 (-110)
This NFL betting line reeks of prejudice towards the Patriots and wild optimism about the Bills’ chances. Patriots rediscovered their motivation on Sunday night when they disembowelled the Bengals (previously unbeaten) 43-17, snubbing odds makers who’d matched them as the 1-point underdogs at home and proving all the mean-spirited nattering after the Chiefs routed them in week 4 NFL betting was a moot point. Bills are after an eyebrow-raising, come-from-behind 17-14 win over the Lions, which had them cover as the 7-point pups as well.

The Bills held the Lions scoreless in the second half while mounting their comeback to tie the game 14-14. With just 4 seconds left on the clock after a less than productive final drive by the Bills saw them stutter midfield, Bills decide to kick the ball for the field goal. The singular heroics of Dan Carpenter, who kicked the 58-yard field goal, lifted the Bills to the improbable victory. Kyle Orton was a bit of an improvement at centre but he was hardly spectacular. Put Orton against a quality quarterback such as Tom Brady, NFL bettors can’t seriously put much stock in the Bills here. The win over the Lions was down to a spot of luck. The Lions ambiguous response in the second half helped too (aren’t they notorious for blowing hot and cold from week-to-week, prone to self-destruction, imploding and the sort?). Tom Brady isn’t getting enough respect here as just the 3-point road chalk.

NFL Picks: Patriots -3.0 (-110) at 5Dimes
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Green Bay Packers -3.0 (-120) vs. Miami Dolphins +3.0 (+100)
Mr. Relax Rodgers led the Packers to a stunning 42-10 victory over the Minnesota Vikings in Green Bay on Thursday, a victory that improved the Packers record on the season to 3-2 SU and first place in the NFC North (level with Lions who are after a defeat last week). The Packers were also the biggest favourites to cash on the spread in that victory in week 5 NFL betting.

Miami Dolphins have been twiddling their thumbs since week 4 of the NFL season. Coming off a long bye, which one assumes could have a negative effect on their motivation – not unlike the Cardinals and Bengals last week, who were run ragged by Manning and Brady, respectively – doesn’t set them up well for a date with the offensive-minded Packers. Heck, if DE Shelby’s suspension for bar brawling this week is an indication of just how focused the Dolphins are for the coming week, the Packers will be a captive audience.

Dolphins opened the season plastering the Patriots 33-20 at home. But the Dolphins came up with nothing viable until they beat the Raiders at Wembley Stadium in London a fortnight ago. Stifled by the Bills in a 29-10 defeat on the road and routed by the Chiefs 34-15 at home, things were looking abysmal. Then London called, a soft opponent awaited, and they clinched their second win of the season. Packers have scored 80 points in their last two games while holding opponents to just 27. Are NFL bettors seriously to consider the Packers are no better than a field goal? Those are rather disingenuous NFL odds, but they should prove a winner on your NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Packers -3.0 (-120)

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