The 88-year history between the Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants has produced one of the NFL's most evenly-matched rivalries. Find out where we lean in our Eagles versus Giants picks.
Philadelphia leads the all-time series 89-87-2. But as of late, the Eagles have dominated this NFC East showdown, winning 13 of the last 15 matchups. Philadelphia (5-6) enters this Week 12 showdown with the better record, two wins clear of the Giants (3-7).
Here are my picks and predictions for the NFL Week 12 matchup between the Eagles and the Giants (Odds via DraftKings; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5 star scale).
Eagles vs. Giants Game Info
Date/Time: Sunday, Nov. 28, 1 p.m. ETTV: FOXLocation: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJWeather: light rain, 39 degrees
Eagles vs. Giants Odds Analysis
Philadelphia opened as a three-point favorite at most books, though the line quickly fell to 2.5 points, then rose to four points several times before settling on the current 3.5-point line. The majority of bets are on the Eagles, while the slight majority of the money is on the Giants. These two teams split the season series last year, but Philadelphia had won eight consecutive games prior to last November's loss.
Both teams are around .500 against the spread, with the Eagles (6-5 ATS) holding a slight edge over the Giants (5-5). Philadelphia is a solid 4-2 ATS on the road, while New York is just 2-3 ATS at home.
Eagles vs. Giants Picks
Giants +3.5 (-110) ????Over 45.5 (-110) ???
SEE ALSO: Browns vs. Ravens Week 12 Picks
Eagles vs. Giants Predictions
Giants +3.5 (-110)
The Giants are hopeful to have a fully healthy Saquon Barkley, who returned last week after suffering a foot injury in Week 5. The star rusher saw almost 70% of the snaps (highest since Week 5) and finished with 56 total yards and an impressive six receptions. Barkley will face a Philadelphia defense that has allowed the fifth-most rushing yards and second-most receptions to opposing running backs. Barkley's involvement should provide the Giants with their most balanced offensive attack since their 27-21 upset win at New Orleans.
Barkley's return should also help quarterback Daniel Jones, who is in desperate need of offensive balance. Jones has fared better in play-action situations, completing 67.4% of his passes, ninth-best among all quarterbacks. While some of the Giants receivers were listed on this week's injury report, New York should have a full arsenal of weapons for Jones against the Eagles.
The Eagles defense struggles mightily to get pressure on the opposing quarterback. Philadelphia only averages 1.3 sacks per game, third-fewest in the NFL. Over their last three games, they have been even worse, tallying just one total sack over those three contests.
The Giants defense ranks 11th overall in pass defense DVOA, but they are vulnerable against the run. Philadelphia will again be shorthanded in its backfield, as Jordan Howard did not practice on Thursday. Howard has been fantastic for the Eagles in his four active games, averaging 5.4 rushing yards per attempt. Philadelphia's backfield did enjoy the return of Miles Sanders last week, but he did fumble, and has yet to break 100 rushing yards this season.
The key to this game will be the rushing ability of Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts. He ranks first at the position in carries (115), rushing touchdowns (eight), and second in total rushing yards (616). However, the Giants defense has demonstrated success at limiting the rushing production of opposing quarterbacks. They have allowed a total of 111 rushing yards with just two touchdowns. I don't project Hurts to have a big game on the ground, which has been the foundation for the Eagles offensive success.
This game projects to be another close battle with the home team receiving a full 3.5 points. Getting that hook with the Giants at home in a rivalry game is simply too enticing.
Over 45.5 (-110)
Philadelphia and New York are both inside the top 10 teams in neutral game script pace. The Eagles have improved throughout the season and currently rank third among all teams. The Giants are finally healthy and with the return of Barkley, should be able to put up points at home against an Eagles defense that allows 23.6 points per game this season.
Prior to last year, these two teams beat this total in six of their prior seven games. Philadelphia has averaged 34.5 points per game in their last four contests.
I project a high-scoring shootout between two offenses that are finally healthy and peaking at the end of the season.
With both teams struggling to maintain defensive pressure, I'll take the Over in our Eagles versus Giants picks in a game with two mobile quarterbacks.
Eagles-Giants picks made 11/25/2021 at 8:24 p.m. ET