Eagles 2018 NFL Schedule Betting Breakdown: Title Hunters now the Hunted

eagles

Jay Pryce

Sunday, April 22, 2018 5:14 PM UTC

Sunday, Apr. 22, 2018 5:14 PM UTC

The reigning Super Bowl champions square off against every NFC playoff team from last year. Here’s a look at the schedule, including our favorite and not-so-favorite betting spots.

Repeating is never easy. The defending champion Philadelphia Eagles have a target on their back and a challenging schedule, not to mention a trip across the Atlantic Ocean to play the Jaguars in London. Things could get interesting.

Below you will find the Eagles’ straight-up and against-the-spread records from last year’s NFL regular season, including average margin of victory, 2017 average odds, 2017 win totals and 2018 pre-scheduled figures, and projected strength of schedule using opponents’ combined record from 2017.

2017 SU Record: 13-3 (10.1 avg. margin)

2017 ATS Record: 10-6 (6.1 avg. margin)

2017 Average Line: -4.1

2017 Win Total: 8.5 (-120)

2018 Win Total 5Dimes (pre-schedule): 10.5 (-115)

2018 Strength of Schedule: T-19, opponents were 126-130 (.492)

Three Games to Back ATS

Falcons, Week 1

Banking on the Super Bowl champions in their Week 1 debut is a well-known and profitable angle. Since 2000, they are 15-3 SU and 11-5-2 ATS. Couple this with the fact Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan is poor catching a sizable amount of points on the road through Week 8, and backing the Eagles here is automatic.

Buccaneers, Week 2; Panthers, Week 7

The Eagles are the NFL’s version of Moneyball; the team is heavily analytics driven. Give them extra time to crunch numbers and prepare and the results often exceed expectations. Under head coach Doug Pederson, Philly is 5-1 SU and ATS getting more than seven days rest. It is covering a -2.3 average line by 8.3 points per game. The Eagles get 10 days before these games against Bucs and Panthers. (A fourth game to back based on this trend is in Week 10 against the Cowboys; the Eagles will be coming off their bye week.).

Three Games to Fade ATS

@Giants, Week 6; Giants, Week 12

Sure, the Eagles have won 16 of the last 20 meetings against the G-men. Sure, New York is likely the bottom feeders of the NFC East for the second year in a row. Nevertheless, this is the most unpredictable division in football, and rivalries often stay tighter than anticipated. Philly’s average margin of victory in this span is 5.1, and as we noted in our betting schedule breakdown for New York, the Giants have covered the spread in all four contests catching more than 4 points on the NFL odds board. Expect the Eagles to gift more than this in both matchups.

@Rams, Week 15

Five of Pederson’s 12 losses with the Eagles have come in nine games in which they squared off against an opponent with an average margin of victory of 3.65 points or more the previous season. The Rams own an 8.0 difference headed into the 2018 campaign. On the road, Philly is just 1-4 SU and ATS, losing by 4.4 points per game. The high-octane offense has put up 20 points or less each loss. L.A.’s beefed-up defense could be something special this year and help avenge a 43-35 defeat to the Eagles last season. Bet on it.

Trap Game Potential

Jaguars (at London), Week 8

The same above-mentioned Rams scenario applies to Philly’s Week 8 contest versus the Jaguars, except the game is played on neutral soil in London. Jacksonville, which has played in England in each of the last five seasons, is growing comfortable to its second home (team owner Shahid Khan also owns soccer team Fulham F.C. of the Premier League). The Jags have won and covered their last three straight, exploding for 34, 30, and 44 points. They finished last season with a 8.2 point differential.

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