Divisional Round Prop Betting Options for your NFL Picks

Jordan Sharp

Friday, January 9, 2015 8:41 PM GMT

 I have found three team prop NFL Picks from bet365 this week that have some great value, and I am releasing them for free. 

Colts vs. Broncos O/U 6.5 TDs
This should be the highest scoring game of the divisional weekend, and I think most of it is going to be because of the Broncos. All signs point to Denver having a big game here, and while I think the Colts and Luck will be in the game for most of it, Denver’s substantially better in all facets. Indy’s offensive line is banged up, and that likely means Luck will have to throw even quicker to avoid being hit. The Broncos’ run game has been awesome and it won’t slow down against the Colts, and overall with a total of 54 points, the sportsbooks are saying there will be seven to eight touchdowns. At +100, the value play is on the over for this one.

NFL Pick:  OVER 6.5 TDs (+100)

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Panthers vs. Seahawks O/U 3.5 TDs
In almost the complete opposite tilt, the Panthers and Seahawks should easily be the lowest scoring game of divisional weekend. Right now the NFL Odds have the total at less than 40 points, and with a spread of -10 ½ in favor of the Seahawks, you know the books think this game will be one sided. However looking back onto the meetings between these two in the last three seasons, the games have always ended within a four or five point margin, and the total seems to always go under. There have been only five touchdowns scored between these two teams in their last three meetings, with the one this year only having one offensive touchdown. At 3.5 touchdowns, if the under hits in this playoff matchup, then bet365 is paying out at +150, which is incredible value if this game follows the trend. The one thing that worries me is that all three of those games were played in Carolina, whereas this one is of course in Seattle. However that can only hurt the Panthers’ touchdown chances, so while there is some risk, I think the reward is far more valuable this week. Make the under your NFL pick for this match! 

NFL Pick:  UNDER 3.5 TDs (+150)

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Panthers vs. Seahawks team to score first
If you don’t like the risk I’m taking above, then you definitely won’t like this one, so don’t waster your time and stop reading. However if you look back, the Panthers have had some early game success against the Seahawks, and if they can get into field goal range early in the game, Graham Gano’s leg can help them a lot on the road. However this is mostly a play because the NFL Odds are so good. At +162, the Panthers scoring first would be a nice contrarian play, and a nice way to get some long shot value. The Panthers’ run game having success will be key to this one, but regardless I think the Panthers scoring first in this game is way underpriced, and I am taking a stab.

NFL Pick: Panthers to score first (+162)