Thanks to the Texans not showing up last week, as well as one long run from Alfred Blue, we crashed and burned on our prop betting picks for the Wild Card round of the playoffs. However, I am back with three more hopefully winning prop picks for the divisional games from bet365.
Travis Kelce O/U 62.5 Receiving Yards
Travis Kelce has fallen back to earth some from his breakout campaign last season, but he was huge last week moving the chains for the Chiefs last week in their beat down of the Texans, and they are going to need an equally big performance from him this week against the defending champion Patriots. With a yards total of 62.5 this week, and with Jeremy Maclin looking questionable this week after badly spraining his ankle last week against the Texans, on the surface the over looks like the play. However, the Patriots are famous for taking away your number one option on offense, and if Maclin can not go this week, the Patriots are going to be glued to Kelce all game. During the regular season, even though the Patriots were middle of the road defending wide receivers, they were one of the better teams against tight ends. The Patriots allowed the second fewest yards to tight ends during the regular season, as opposing tight ends only averaged 39 yards per game against New England. While Kelce could have a good game, and maybe even catch a TD pass, I doubt he gets above 62 yards unless the Chiefs get way down in this one.
NFL Picks: UNDER 62.5 receiving yards (-115) at bet365
Packers vs. Cardinals O/U 5.5 TDs
I have already come out and stated that I am on the over for this game, and with a total of 50 points on the NFL odds board in some cases, you have to think there are going to be a ton of touchdowns scored in this game. Aaron Rodgers seemingly broke out of his slump last week against the Redskins, and if he can continue his hot streak and carry it over to this game, the over for TDs also seems like a good play, With NFL Odds of -120 on both the over and the under, bet365 sportsbook knows this one is going to be close, but after the Cardinals decimated the Packers defense three weeks ago towards the end of the regular season, this one is a no brainer for me. All we need is three touchdowns from both team to cash the over, and while the Cards’ defense is a formidable unit, if Rodgers is back to the Rodgers we are used to, this one is a very valuable over play for my NFL picks this week.
NFL Picks: OVER 5.5 TDs (-120)
Seahawks vs. Panthers - Race to the Points
In what could be the marquee matchup of the weekend on Sunday afternoon, the Seahawks and Panthers are set to do battle to see who advances to the NFC Championship game. However, if this game follows the script I think it will, it will likely be one of, if not the lowest scoring game of the weekend, and if the defenses rule this week, neither team to get to 25 points seems like a very valuable wager. At +137 odds, the price is certainly right, and if you look at these two teams performances from the regular season, it makes this one my favorite prop bet of the weekend. Sure, they could easily get into a shoot out, but neither team has allowed 25 points too many times this season. Since their hot streak began to get them into the playoffs, the Seahawks have not allowed 25 points or more since Week 12 of the regular season, while the Panthers have only allowed 25 points in regulation three times all season. Sure, both of these offenses are very capable of scoring on one another, but let’s be honest, the defenses are the best sides of both of these teams. Take the side that neither team to get to 25 points here on Sunday afternoon in Carolina.
NFL Picks: Neither team to 25 points (+137)