Divisional Clashes Rule Week 15 Betting Trends & Angles

Jay Pryce

Tuesday, December 12, 2017 2:32 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 12, 2017 2:32 PM UTC

Our Week 15 NFL situational trends and angles are loaded with divisional clash themes. Check out which bet you should make in the Bears-Lions, Eagles-Giants, and Ravens-Browns matchups. Oh, and how good Cam Newton's Panthers are vs. visitors with a worse winning percentage. 

Bears Divisional Road Woes

Since 2016, the Bears are 0-9 SU and 3-6 ATS on the road in NFC North matchups. They have lost all but one game by 6 points or more for an average of 16.2 per tilt. An already-anemic offense is all but completely shut down by defenses it faces regularly. Chicago averages 11.8 points per game and has failed to score more than 17 in any contest. It hasn’t reached its projected team total in any, either. As of publication, the Bears are 5.5-point underdogs on the NFL oddsboard with a 44 total for a Saturday afternoon matchup at Detroit. This implies Chicago will score at least 19 points. Don’t bet on it.

Rare Heavy Road Chalk in NFC East Clash

This is just the second time in the last decade bettors are seeing a road favorite of more than a touchdown in a NFC East clash, as the Eagles are 8-point favorites at the Giants on Sunday. Philly was also the favorite in each of the last two, both against the Redskins, losing 27-24 as 7.5-point chalk in 2014, yet winning and covering a -8.5 line 27-17 in 2009.

The angle here is to wager the home dog. Since 1989, they are 17-10 ATS, covering a 9.2 average spread by 2.4 points per game. The NFC East is arguably the most competitive division in the NFL year-in and year-out. Couple this with the fact Philly is returning to Nick Foles under center with starting quarterback Carson Wentz out for the year due to a torn ACL, and taking the points looks enticing.

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Newton, Panthers Pounce on Weaker at BoA

The Panthers are 17-3 SU and 14-6 ATS at Bank of America Stadium with Cam Newton under center hosting an opponent with a lower winning percentage. The Packers, 2.5-point underdogs for the showdown with Aaron Rodgers likely back, enter Charlotte with a 7-6 record. Carolina, meanwhile, is 9-4, tied with the Saints a top the NFC South. Newton and the offense roll in this situation. The team posts 30.9 points per game, including 26.0 in three this season.

Where’s the Offense in Cleveland?

The ‘under’ is 24-11 in the Browns’ last 35 AFC North games as a home underdog, a 37.5 combined score staying 2.5 points south of a 40.0 average total. The defense tends to keep these divisional clashes competitive, but the offense continually comes up way short. Cleveland registers 14.6 points per game; not too surprising for a franchise that has shuffled through 25 starting quarterbacks in this span. In five contests under Hue Jackson, the Browns post 12.8 points in this spot with a 37.6 average tally. Cleveland is +7 vs. Baltimore.

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