David Kaplan’s Weekly NFL Picks: Kappy Big On Underdogs In Week 14

David Kaplan

Thursday, December 6, 2018 3:50 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 6, 2018 3:50 PM UTC

Chicago sports radio & TV legend David Kaplan has joined Sportsbook Review and was 1-4 on his football picks last week. Here are Uncle Kappy's Fab Five for NFL Week 14.

Kaplan season record: 34-33-1

For the second time this season, I have hit a two-week skid that has me trying to get back to the happier times when I was on a big run last month. I've had two weeks where I went 5-0 this season, so that is what I will strive to achieve this week! With college football's regular season basically finished, I am looking to the NFL to solve our woes. Remember, in gambling you can't force things, and that's why I make my plays with this motto in mind: You can't lose what you don't bet. Here we go ...

Indianapolis (+5) at Houston

I really like the Colts this week as they are coming off of an awful performance offensively in their 6-0 loss at Jacksonville last Sunday. Why do I like them? Because I believe they will rebound well behind their star quarterback Andrew Luck. They are solid defensively and I think they are poised to rebound against a red-hot Texans opponent whom I don't believe is as good as their record would lead one to believe. Luck is a very good quarterback, and he has this stat on his resume that clinches the Colts as one of my plays: He is 16-1 straight up when they own a winning percentage of .333 or better and they failed to score 21 or more points in their previous game. I will take the 5 points as I believe the Colts can win this game outright.

NY Giants at Washington (+3.5)

This one jumps out to me because of a simple trend: The Giants are 3-12 in their last 15 road games. The Redskins will circle the wagons around their latest quarterback, Mark Sanchez, and while it may not be pretty I do think they will win. As my good friend and solid handicapper Carmen DeFalco always says, take the points with a home underdog in an intradivision match up. I will listen to him. I'm taking the points with Washington.

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#NFL Week 14
ATS Predictionshttps://t.co/ZkSoEPjiTc

— SBR Sports Picks (@SBRSportsPicks) December 4, 2018
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Philadelphia (+3.5) at Dallas

Listen closely. Jason Garrett is winless as a home favorite in December in division matchups. Take that and think about that for a second. Winless. I'm taking the defending Super Bowl champions with the better quarterback in the game and I'm getting 3.5 points? I'll make that play every time. Take the Philadelphia Eagles, who will win this game outright.

LA Rams at Chicago (Over 51)

I am staying away from the side in this matchup of two of the NFC's heavyweights, but I do see a solid wagering opportunity on the total with the number at 51 at most of SBR’s top-rated sportsbooks. Bears starting QB Mitchell Trubisky will return after missing the previous two games with a right shoulder injury suffered in the Bears’ big win over the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football a few weeks ago. Will he be rusty? Perhaps. But I see the game plan calling for a lot of quick passes and I see the same thing for the Rams, who do not want to give the Bears’ star pass rusher, Khalil Mack, a chance to wreck the game with a sack or strip sack that could lead to points for Chicago. Play the ‘over’ here as Trubisky shows the Chicago faithful who doubted him that he is indeed their future at the game's most important position.

Minnesota (+3.5) at Seattle, Monday

The Vikings are no joke on the defensive side of the ball and while I think Seattle is a very good team who has improved as the season has unfolded, I don't believe they are better team in this matchup. The Vikings will pressure Russell Wilson, they will take the ball away because of that pressure and I don't think that Seattle will be able to contain the Vikings offense enough to win the game. I will gladly take the points as I see the Vikings winning the game outright.

Kaplan hosts a daily radio show in Chicago on ESPN 1000 (WMVP-AM) from 9 a.m. to noon local time and a daily TV show on NBC Sports Chicago at 6 p.m. He hosts Cubs pregame and postgame shows on the same network. He’s a college basketball TV analyst for the Atlantic 10, the Missouri Valley Conference and the Horizon League. And he wrote a book on the Cubs’ rebuild & championship.

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