Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 10 Free NFL Pick

David Lawrence

Friday, November 13, 2015 7:21 PM GMT

Dallas has lost six in a row, & that might not be the biggest problem they have. Tampa Bay is 3-5, and they look ready to pounce on the beleaguered and controversial Cowboys.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -1 -105 at Pinnacle
The Buccaneers opened up as 1-point favorites and the NFL odds have moved to -1.5, then -2 for the home team as the Cowboys have a number of issues, to say the least. They lost in overtime to Philadelphia, but the Greg Hardy situation has been hanging over the team for a few weeks and came to a head when a number of alarming pictures were released this week. The focus of the team isn't on football right now and it needs to be, but Hardy is still on the roster. Meanwhile, the Bucs have been inconsistent, but they show bright glimpses every so often. QB Jameis Winston has settled down and hasn't thrown an interception in four straight games, and his receivers let him down with drops in their loss to the New York Giants.

Cowboys vs. Buccaneers Spread

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Cowboys vs. Buccaneers Totals

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Cowboys vs. Buccaneers Money Line

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Injuries
WR Dez Bryant sat out practice on Wednesday with a sore knee, but the Cowboys expect him to play on Sunday. He hurt it on his touchdown catch in Philadelphia, and the Cowboys need more of those with Matt Cassel at the helm. LB Sean Lee has a concussion and is listed as doubtful, and that sounds about normal for the ultra-talented but often-injured leader of the defense.

S Bradley McDougald left the Bucs' loss to the Giants with a concussion and didn't return, so he'll have to clear the NFL protocol in order to play this weekend. Other than that, the Bucs are healthy going into this game and a win wouldn't even be an upset as their young players are playing well recently. They've had a few hiccups here and there, but that is to be expected from a team that is loaded with rookies.

 

Trends
The Cowboys have covered just once in their last six games overall, but they've 9-3 ATS in their last 12 on the road. The Bucs are 4-4 ATS this season, but just 1-3 ATS at home.

Dallas is 7-3 SU (including five wins in a row) and ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Bucs, who are 2-3 SU and ATS in their last five at home against the Cowboys.

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