Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins Week 11 Free NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Saturday, November 21, 2015 3:54 PM GMT

Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015 3:54 PM GMT

Dallas have lost 7 in a row, but Romo is back & the Cowboys are hoping to begin a shocking run to the playoffs. the betting odds are set & it all starts this Sunday in Miami against the 4-5 Dolphins.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -1.5 -105 at Pinnacle
The NFL odds for this game started at -1.5 for the Cowboys on the road, then -1. Then the line went to -1 for the Dolphins at home as the books seems to be leery of Romo's return from a broken collarbone. The Dallas offense has been terrible under Brandon Weeden (who has since been released) and Matt Cassel, but can it be any worse under Romo, who has been out since Week 2? Meanwhile, the Dolphins halted a skid at two games with a close win over Philadelphia on the road, but they still have a defense that is ranked 26th in the NFL. That means RB Darren McFadden has to be more consistent than he has been alternating 100-yard games with poor performances and he hasn't scored a touchdown in three games. The Cowboys, of course, have their share of controversies to deal with as WR Dez Bryant and DE Greg Hardy seem to always be in the news for off-field reasons.

Cowboys vs. Dolphins Spread

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Cowboys vs. Dolphins Totals

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Cowboys vs. Dolphins Money Line

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Injuries
CB Morris Claiborne left the Cowboys' loss to Tampa Bay with a hamstring injury, so that will have to be monitored. However, LB Sean Lee passed the concussion protocol, so he should play this weekend. The big news is Romo, but the Cowboys still need a ground game that is ninth in the NFL to get going.

For the Dolphins, CB Brice McCain left the Philadelphia game with a knee injury and is unlikely to play. LB Jelani Jenkins is questionable with an ankle injury, along with fellow LB Koa Misi, who has an abdomen injury. CB Brent Grimes returned to practice after falling ill over the weekend. 

 

Trends
The Cowboys are 2-7 ATS this season, and they're 1-3 ATS on the road, while the Dolphins are 4-5 ATS and 1-2 ATS at home. The total is set at 47.5, up from an opening number of 46, and the Dolphins have gone over five times this season. Dallas has gone under five times.

Dallas has split their last 10 meetings with the Dolphins SU, covering four times. In Miami, Dallas is 2-1 SU and ATS in three games since 1981.

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