The Dallas Cowboys are coming off a year where they destroyed expectations with a pair of rookies leading the offense. Now sportsbooks have Dallas' season win total sitting at 9.5 and at some shops with heavy juice on the over, the under might be a sneaky play in a year where it’s more likely the Cowboys regress some than get better from their stellar 2016.
Wins You Can Count On: The main reason I’m pessimistic about the Cowboys this season is there aren’t a lot of easy wins on their schedule. They have five home games against the Rams, Chiefs, Eagles, Chargers and Redskins, which should all be wins. The latter three teams are played one after the other in Weeks 11-13, but the trouble starts early for this team.
Games That Could Go Either Way: Other than that aforementioned Week 4 matchup against the Rams in Dallas, the Cowboys’ other four games before their Week 6 bye are against the Giants, Broncos, Cardinals and Packers. They could easily be 3-2 or even 2-3 heading into their bye week and that isn’t even all of it.
Real Trouble Spots: At home against the Packers in Week 5, a road trip to the Falcons in Week 10 and a two-game road trip to New York and Oakland in Weeks 14 and 15 look like they could all go in the loss column for the Cowboys this season. Along with those and the four or five games on their schedule that could go either way, the pathway to 10 wins is hard for this team. Even if they are 9-3 after Week 13, that 10th win is still tough to get over the final four weeks.