The Point Spreads for NFL Week 8 are on the betting board so let’s take a quick look at four games for this coming Sunday where the numbers may look a little bit strange to some potential bettors and try to offer up some explanations for why.
Seeing the Eagles as double-digit favorites has been a rarity of late, with the last time Philadelphia being a 10-point or more Favorite coming back in 2014 against the Titans in Philadelphia (PHIL -11, Eagles won 43-24) when Chip Kelly was still Head Coach in the City of Brotherly Love. It happened last before that in 2011 when now-Chiefs Head Coach Andy Reid was in charge of the Eagles and the hosts were 13½-point chalk over the Cardinals who won outright, 21-17. So, three times in 7 seasons, but not so surprising in the context of how tight NFL games can be and how few double-digit Favorites there really are. Philly had struggled to find a solid starting QB like it had with Donovan McNabb to build around for seasons, but with burgeoning QB Carson Wentz looking like he could fill that void and being a big part of the reason why we’re looking at a -11½ line. Of course, the winless 49ers (0-7 SU) also get their fair share of the blame.
The Eagles (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS into MNF) will be playing on 5 Days of Rest after facing the Redskins on Monday Night Football heading into this Week 8 inter-divisional affair from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia and one might think the linemakers might give San Francisco a break but the brutal realities of the Niners having to travel 2,280 miles from West to East and lose 3 Body Clock Hours, San Francisco being 7-11-1 ATS its L15 as a Road Dog -- although SF is 3-1 ATS this season as a RD -- and the Eagles 5-2 ATS L7 mark in the series are also part of the reason why this number may look a little “odd” maybe in the context of being high on the Eagles side.
Oakland Raiders at Buffalo Bills (-3)
After all of the perceived progress the Raiders have made both as a franchise as well as a team playing football east of the Mississippi River, the linemakers still have the host Bills as 3-point Favorites (-120, GTBets) for this AFC affair from New Era Field on Sunday (CBS, 1 pm ET/10 am PT). Why? Because Oakland isn’t as great as we all thought and the Bills are the playing the best they have in some years, at least for now, with QB Tyrod Taylor and RB LeSean McCoy leading the way. Plus, the Raiders also have to endure Travel and Time realities in Week 8: A 2,644-mile distance and a 3-Hour Time Zone difference (PDT to EDT), meaning this game will be starting at 10 am in the Silver and Black’s Body Clocks. The Trends here do favor Oakland with the Raiders 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in the series and 4-0 ATS the L4 trips to Buffalo although the last time the Raiders went to Buffalo was back in 2011 when Hue Jackson was still Head Coach so few if any on this Oakland Roster know what playing in Buffalo is about. So, advantage Bills -- who defeated the Bucs in Week 7 by 3 -- and thus the slight Favorite and (perceived) proper lining for this game.
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots (-7)
Yet another California team heading from West to East those 3 Time Zones and playing at 10 am their Body Clocks’ time (PDT, 1 pm EDT), the Chargers head to Gillette Stadium to face Tom Brady and the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots in an AFC inter-divisional contest next Sunday (CBS). So why aren’t the hosts double-digit Favorites in this spot, especially with their Bye Week looming in Week 9? Because Head Coach Bill Belichick (176-128-8 ATS) and the hosts have suffered a rash of serious Injuries (Edelman, Mitchell, Jones, Valentine) and because Philip Rivers (34-18-1 ATS as Road Underdog, 2-0-1 ATS in 2017) and the Bolts aren’t as bad as they used to be, with a young Roster and plenty of talent waiting to jell after moving the former AFL franchise from San Diego to La La land this past Summer. This seems like it should more around a 10-point spread but the way New England (2,644 Total Net Yards Defense, #31 in NFL) has played so far this first half of the 2017 NFL Regular Season means this could be anyone’s Super Bowl to win. NE is 3-0 ATS L3 vs. the Chargers.
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (-1½)
This opening Point Spread may look a little strange to some and the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook actually opened up Dak Prescott and the visiting Cowboys as 2½-point Favorites in its renowned 2017 NFL Games of the Year Futures market out this past Summer. With Kirk Cousins and the Redskins (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS into MNF) playing some pretty decent football, we now have Washington installed as small Home Favorites in this NFC East Week 8 spot from FedExField on Sunday (4:25 pm EDT/1:25 pm PDT).
The Trends show Washington to be a profitable 10-4 ATS the L14 vs. the Cowboys although Dallas eked out a 1-point ATS cover last year in this spot, winning outright (27-24) as 3-point Road Favorites. This one seems best watched with either side capable of winning and Dez Bryant and the Cowboys have W5-6 SU in this historic series. The Skins will come in playing with just 5 Days of Rest after facing the Eagles in Philadelphia in Week 7 on Monday Night Football in another big NFC East date.
NFL WEEK 8 LINES-LOOK ODD PICKS: Eagles -11½, Cowboys +1½