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Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown makes a catch against Cleveland Browns cornerback Denzel Ward. We're backing Brown in our Commanders vs. Eagles TNF parlay.
Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown makes a catch against Cleveland Browns cornerback Denzel Ward. Photo by Eric Hartline via Imagn Images.

This week’s Thursday Night Football matchup features two Super Bowl odds contenders as Jayden Daniels leads the Washington Commanders against Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles in a key NFC East battle.

Our Commanders vs. Eagles TNF parlay based on our best Thursday Night Football odds sees a breakthrough game for A.J. Brown against a secondary that he has a history of torching.

Our Week 11 NFL predictions expect his efforts to contribute to another TNF shootout, but we’re fading the Washington ground game given Philly’s recent track record of stopping the run.

As part of our coverage of this matchup from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia on Thursday at 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video), we make our top Commanders vs. Eagles prediction and Commanders vs. Eagles player props.

Commanders vs. Eagles parlay predictions: Thursday Night Football

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • A.J. Brown anytime touchdown scorer (+120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Brian Robinson Jr. Under 47.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Over 49.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: +550 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 15.38%

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SGP predictions for Commanders vs. Eagles

Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

A.J. Brown anytime touchdown scorer (+120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

After his success against the Commanders' secondary last season, Thursday is a great spot for Brown to break out of a recent scoring drought.

  • Last year, Brown had his way against Benjamin St-Juste en route to 305 receiving yards and four touchdowns across two games
  • The Commanders have allowed 12 touchdowns to wide receivers this season, which is tied for third-most in the NFL
  • Brown has scored a touchdown in three of his six games played this season

With +135 odds on an AJ Brown anytime touchdown, FanDuel is the best spot for this prop. We should still see a strong boost to our SGP at DraftKings, though, with odds on this prop at +120.

Brian Robinson Jr. Under 47.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

After missing Washington’s last two games due to injury, Brian Robinson Jr. returns to the lineup facing one of the staunchest rush defenses in the league.

  • The Eagles allow an average of 100.7 rushing yards per game, fifth-best in the NFL
  • With 53 rushing yards last week, Rico Dowdle of the Dallas Cowboys became the first back to clear this rushing line against the Eagles since September

With the prop listed at 47.5 yards, DraftKings is the best spot to bet Under on this rushing total. Elsewhere, the line sits between 44.5 and 45.5 yards.

Over 49.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Two of the league’s most explosive offenses match up in what could be another scoring bonanza on Thursday night.

  • The short week has favored offenses recently as four of six TNF games since the beginning of October have cleared 49.5 total points
  • The Commanders average 29.0 points per game (T-3rd) while the Eagles average 25.9 points per game (T-7th)
  • Philadelphia has allowed opponents to score more at home (20.3 PPG) than on the road (14.2 PPG)
  • Commanders road games are 5-0 on Overs this season

While FanDuel’s odds on this SGP come out to +562, slightly better than the +550 odds at DraftKings, we’ll play the parlay at DraftKings due to the edge on the line for the Robinson Jr. rushing prop. 

Commanders vs. Eagles odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Thursday Night Football game info

  • Matchup: Commanders vs. Eagles
  • Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, Pa.)
  • How to watch: Prime Video
  • Weather: 45 degrees, 30% chance of precipitation, wind 7 mph NE
  • Favorite: Eagles -3.5 (-115 via BetMGM)

NFL betting odds pages

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