Cleveland Browns vs. St Louis Rams Week 7 Free NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Sunday, October 25, 2015 11:41 AM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 25, 2015 11:41 AM UTC

Cleveland is now 2-4 after falling in overtime to Denver in a game they should have won, and their last four games have now been decided by a touchdown or less.

Opening Odds & Line Movement

Open: -5.5 -105 at Pinnacle
The Rams opened up with the NFL odds as a 5.5-point favorite at home, then the line dipped to -4.5 before going back up to -5 and then back to -5.5. While the Browns are indeed keeping games close, they've lost three of those games and when it looked like they were learning to win after beating Baltimore, they should have beaten the Broncos and lost a big chance to take their record to 3-3. The Rams are well rested and they take on the worst run defense in the league with Todd Gurley, who has rushed four 314 yards in three games since returning from a knee injury.


RB Duke Johnson hurt his shoulder against the Broncos, but he is expected to play this week. QB Johnny Manziel probably won't be available as he deals with more off-field issues, and the Browns can't be long for “Johnny Football”, especially with Josh McCown playing better than anyone expected overall.

The Rams don't have any new injuries to report just yet, but TE Lance Kendricks did have surgery on an injured finger so he could recover over the bye week. He probably won't be able to play this week, but moving forward, the Rams should get him back and that's one more target for QB Nick Foles, who is 29th in the NFL in QBR.


Cleveland has an ATS record of 3-1-1 in their last five games, and they're 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road. Meanwhile, the Rams have covered in just two of their last eight games, and they're 2-3 ATS in their last five games at home.

The Rams are 3-1 SU and ATS in four meetings with the Browns since 1999, going 1-1 SU and ATS in two games at home, the last of which came back in 2007.

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